Sasnovich A. vs Svitolina E

WTA Wimbledon

Sasnovich A. vs Svitolina E.

🧠 Form & Context

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
🎯 Grit personified: Played over 3.5 hours in her first-round win over Varvara Gracheva, saving a match point and edging through in a final-set tiebreak.
🌱 Grass-ready: Came through qualifying with three straight-set wins, and is 7–2 on grass this season despite a ranking outside the Top 100.
📈 Slam comeback: This is her first major main-draw win since Wimbledon 2023, where she also reached R2.
📜 Wimbledon history: Twice a third-rounder at SW19 (2018, 2021), but hasn’t made it past R2 since then.
🤝 Head-to-head edge: Leads Svitolina 2–1, including a win in Madrid 2023—but that was when Svitolina had just returned from maternity leave.

Elina Svitolina
💥 Businesslike opener: Cruised past Anna Bondár 6-3, 6-1 in R1, extending her streak of Wimbledon R2 appearances to 7 in a row.
🧬 Wimbledon pedigree: A three-time quarterfinalist or better in her last four appearances at SW19.
🔥 Stellar 2025: Reached at least the QF in five major events (AO, IW, Madrid, Rome, RG) and lifted a title in Rouen.
🌿 Grass form underrated: While her overall grass record isn’t elite, she thrives here because of her movement and court craft.
🔁 Revenge angle: Lost to Sasnovich in 2023 when still finding her rhythm—different version of Svitolina now.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Sasnovich is battle-hardened, confident, and has weapons off both wings, particularly on grass. Her flat backhand and willingness to step inside the baseline can disrupt Svitolina’s rhythm. However, she spent significantly more time on court this week, including qualifiers, and may be physically depleted.

Svitolina, on the other hand, looks sharp and fresh. Her return game has been exceptional in 2025, and she’s become far more aggressive post-comeback—especially with her forehand down the line. On this surface, her athleticism and tactical nous give her an edge over any lower-ranked opponent.

Sasnovich’s past success against Svitolina adds intrigue, but over three sets on grass, Svitolina’s superior fitness, form, and shot tolerance should prevail unless she starts slow and lets nerves creep in.

🔮 Prediction

Sasnovich is always dangerous on grass and has beaten Svitolina before, but this is not the same Ukrainian. Expect one tight set, but Svitolina's superior consistency and experience at Wimbledon should shine through.

Prediction: Svitolina in 2 sets, with a potential tiebreak or late break in one.

📊 Tale of the Tape

Stat	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Elina Svitolina
WTA Ranking	~105	21
2025 Win/Loss (All)	25–14	32–10
2025 Grass Record	7–2	3–1
Wimbledon Best	R3 (2018, 2021)	SF (2019), QF (2023)
H2H	2–1	1–2
R1 Score	Def. Gracheva 7-5, 6-7, 7-6	Def. Bondár 6-3, 6-1
First Serve % (2025 avg)	63%	68%
Break Points Saved %	57%	65%