Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzková

Aryna Sabalenka vs Marie Bouzková – Wimbledon 2025 Preview

Tournament: Wimbledon, WTA Main Draw – 2nd Round

Date: July 3, 2025

Surface: Grass

Location: All England Club, London

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🧠 Form & Context

Aryna Sabalenka

• 🔥 Back in business: Recovered from last year’s forced withdrawal to open her 2025 Wimbledon with a 6-1, 7-5 win over Branstine.
• 💎 Slam consistency: Finalist at the last three Grand Slams (AO 2025, RG 2025, USO 2024), and a two-time semifinalist at Wimbledon (2021, 2023).
• 🌱 Still chasing: Despite her power and dominance, she’s yet to win a grass-court title.
• 🧱 Untouchable form: 44–8 in 2025 with deep runs in every major tournament—titles in Brisbane, Doha, and Miami.
• 🎯 Dominant H2H: Leads Bouzková 2–1, winning their most recent meeting in straight sets in Brisbane.

Marie Bouzková

• 🧠 Smart competitor: Survived a tricky opener against Lulu Sun, saving 8/9 break points in a straight-set win.
• 🎢 Up-and-down season: 16–13 in 2025, with quarterfinals in Bogotá and Brisbane but early losses elsewhere.
• ⛔ Slam ceiling: Quarterfinalist at Wimbledon 2022 but hasn’t made it past R3 at any major since.
• 🎾 Game style mismatch: Her defensive, all-court game tends to falter against elite power hitters like Sabalenka.
• 🔁 Losing trend: Has lost 5 of her last 7 matches vs top-10 players.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This is a rematch from January’s Brisbane quarterfinal, which Sabalenka won comfortably—and the dynamic likely remains unchanged. The Belarusian’s explosive serve and first-strike dominance give her the edge on grass, where Bouzková doesn’t have the weapons to counterpunch effectively.

Bouzková will try to elongate rallies and chip returns low to break rhythm, but her lack of firepower on serve will expose her to relentless pressure. Sabalenka’s form across surfaces this year has been remarkable, and she enters this match with confidence, rhythm, and a clean game plan.

As long as she avoids a mid-match lapse, the world No. 1 should march through without much resistance.

🔮 Prediction

Bouzková is gritty and smart, but the pace gap is massive here. Sabalenka’s superior serve, clean hitting, and ability to attack short balls will be overwhelming on this surface.

Prediction: Sabalenka in 2 sets, likely dropping no more than 7 games.