Tuesday, May 20, 2025

WTA Rabat – Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jil Teichmann

WTA Rabat – Kamilla Rakhimova vs Jil Teichmann

🧠 Form & Context

Kamilla Rakhimova
📈 Enjoying a clay-court resurgence—reached the QF in Paris last week with wins over Uchimaja and Wang before falling in three sets to Gracheva.
🎾 Feels comfortable in Rabat, having made the semifinals here in 2024—solid history on Moroccan clay.
🔄 2025 overall has been up-and-down with an 8–15 record, but clay remains her strength.
🟢 Clay-specific stats look strong:
• 83% win rate when winning at least one set
• 58% Set 1 win rate
• 73% Set 2 win rate
⚠️ However, she’s 0% in comeback wins and 0% in third sets this year—struggles under pressure remain a concern.

Jil Teichmann
🔁 Slowly climbing out of an early-season slump, picking up recent clay wins in Rome and Parma.
📉 Just 4–7 on clay in 2025 with a 36% win rate this year—well below her career standard.
📊 Her performance in tight matches is shaky:
• 27% wins in straight sets
• 0% Set 3 wins in 2025
• 45% win rate when winning a set
🇨🇭 Surprisingly, this is her first Rabat main draw appearance—lost in qualifying back in 2018.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Rakhimova is in better clay form and comes in with confidence from her Paris QF and prior success in Rabat. Her clean ball-striking, tactical discipline, and ability to start strong have been key during this clay swing.

Teichmann offers lefty variety and experience but has been wildly inconsistent in third sets and late-match scenarios. If Rakhimova gets on top early—as her stats suggest she often does—she can control the tempo and capitalize on Teichmann’s difficulty closing matches.

Expect rallies and momentum swings, but if it goes the distance, recent patterns suggest Rakhimova is more likely to hold up mentally.

🔮 Prediction

Teichmann may make this a fight, but Rakhimova’s clay form, Rabat comfort, and early-set dominance give her the edge in a battle of baseliners.
🧩 Prediction: Kamilla Rakhimova in 3 sets — with Teichmann’s third-set record continuing to hold her back.

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