ATP Hamburg – Tomás Martín Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesaña

ATP Hamburg – Tomás Martín Etcheverry vs Francisco Comesaña

🧠 Form & Context

🇦🇷 Tomás Martín Etcheverry
📉 Slipping in 2025: Holds an 11–16 record this season with more losses than wins across all surfaces.
🆘 Form reset failed: Dropped to Challenger level in Cap Cana and Turin for confidence—but exited early in both events.
🪂 Ranking pressure: Down to No. 55 after peaking at No. 27 in 2023; under pressure to defend Lyon finalist points next week.
🏁 Hamburg debut: First career main-draw appearance at this event.

🇦🇷 Francisco Comesaña
🚀 Emerging threat: Owns a 4–1 career record vs top-20 players, including a standout win over Arthur Fils in Madrid.
⚖️ Playing well: Took a set off Holger Rune in Rome and held his own in extended baseline exchanges.
🔄 Hamburg motivation: Fell in QFs here last year, but returns with more experience and sharper tour-level form.
📈 Career-high confidence: Ranked No. 64, with consistent showings across the clay season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Etcheverry’s topspin-heavy forehand and solid movement used to make him a difficult opponent on clay. But this season, his timing is off, and his confidence is clearly shaken. He's struggling to sustain rallies, and his forehand has become more erratic.

Comesaña is trending in the opposite direction. He thrives on grit, variety, and smart tactical play—especially against players lacking belief. His willingness to step inside the baseline and force errors puts him in a strong position against the tentative version of Etcheverry we've seen lately.
This could be a tight, physical affair, but the momentum favors the younger Argentine, who’s more assertive and better in 2024-25 pressure moments.

🔮 Prediction

Etcheverry is still dangerous on paper, but Comesaña has the form, confidence, and recent results to handle this matchup. Unless Etcheverry rediscovers last year’s rhythm, this could be another tough loss. 🧩 Prediction: Francisco Comesaña in 3 sets — expect long rallies and momentum swings, but the edge goes to the in-form challenger.