Second-round previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic
🧠 Form & Context
Nikolas Sanchez-Izquierdo
- 📊 Ranked No. 151 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches. Beat Jarry in round one.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 37.3% against the first serve and 54.3% against the second, and 44% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 46.3% of break points.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–3, 6–2 on clay in Madrid in 2021.
- ⚠️ Weaker on serve (63.9% behind the first, 56.8% of break points saved), and has won 46% of career tiebreaks.
Filip Misolic
- 📈 Ranked No. 593 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 67.9% on the first serve (69% recently) and 50.5% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 60.4% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 66% of career deciding sets, 61% of tiebreaks and 90% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Lands only 58.3% of first serves, and has won 33% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Sanchez-Izquierdo won the first, 6–3, 6–2 on clay in Madrid in 2021. Misolic is the 1.62 favourite despite being ranked more than 440 places lower.
Misolic is the stronger server: 67.9% behind the first serve to 63.9%, 50.5% behind the second to 49.5%, and 60.4% of break points saved to 56.8%. Sanchez-Izquierdo lands far more first serves (65.2% vs 58.3%).
Sanchez-Izquierdo is the far better returner: 37.3% against the first serve to 33.5%, and 54.3% against the second to 51.6%. He also converts more break points (46.3% vs 43.4%).
Misolic is 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4 and has won slightly more of his recent matches (55% vs 51%). He also has the far better career records in tiebreaks (61% vs 46%) and deciding sets (66% vs 55%).
Returner against server. Misolic's serve and record in tight sets explain the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Sanchez-Izquierdo | Misolic |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 151 | 593 |
| Age | 27 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 65.2% | 58.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 63.9% | 67.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Break points saved | 56.8% | 60.4% |
| Break points converted | 46.3% | 43.4% |
| Return points won (career) | 44% | 40% |
| Tiebreak win % | 46% | 61% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 55% | 66% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 61% |
Santiago De La Fuente vs Max Alcala Gurri
🧠 Form & Context
Santiago De La Fuente
- 📊 Ranked No. 756 at 24, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches. Knocked out Rincon in round one.
- 🔁 A strong returner: 39.7% against the first serve and 54.1% against the second, and 45% of career return points.
- 🚀 Lands 71.4% of first serves and is slightly stronger behind the second (46.6%).
- 🎯 Converts 46.4% of break points.
- ⚠️ Wins only 60.4% behind his first serve and saves 53.5% of break points. Has won 42% of career deciding sets.
Max Alcala Gurri
- 🔥 Ranked No. 131 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 73% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 40.6% against the first serve and 57.5% against the second, and 47% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 48.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 58% of deciding sets this season and 62% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Weak behind his second serve (44.4%) and saves only 53.8% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Alcala Gurri is the heavy 1.08 favourite and is ranked 625 places higher.
On serve they are almost identical: 71.4% vs 71.2% of first serves in, 60.4% vs 61.4% behind the first serve, and 53.5% vs 53.8% of break points saved. De La Fuente is slightly stronger behind the second serve (46.6% vs 44.4%).
Alcala Gurri is the better returner: 40.6% against the first serve to 39.7%, and 57.5% against the second to 54.1%. He also converts more break points (48.6% vs 46.4%).
The form is clearly with Alcala Gurri: 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 73% of recent matches won against 48%.
Alcala Gurri's return and form explain the short price, in a match where breaks should come often.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | De La Fuente | Alcala Gurri |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 756 | 131 |
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 71.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 60.4% | 61.4% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 46.6% | 44.4% |
| Break points saved | 53.5% | 53.8% |
| Break points converted | 46.4% | 48.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 45% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 43% | 49% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 42% | 49% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 52% | 62% |
Tristan Boyer vs Ryo Tabata
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Lautaro Midon vs Miguel Tobon
🧠 Form & Context
Lautaro Midon
- 📈 Ranked No. 180 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 61% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 39.3% against the first serve and 55.3% against the second, and 45% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 48.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 67% of deciding sets this season, 57% over his career and 64% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Weaker on serve: 64.0% behind the first serve and 56.1% of break points saved.
Miguel Tobon
- 📊 Ranked No. 422 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger first serve: 67.5% of points won (69% recently).
- 🔒 Saves 58.0% of break points (60% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 51% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ A weak returner (31.9% against the first serve), and has won 44% of career deciding sets. His sample at this level is fairly small.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting, after both won their opening matches. Midon is the 1.44 favourite and is ranked 242 places higher.
Tobon has the bigger first serve (67.5% vs 64.0%) and saves more break points (58.0% vs 56.1%). Midon lands more first serves (62.1% vs 59.2%), and they are level behind the second (49.2% vs 49.9%).
Midon is the far better returner: 39.3% against the first serve to 31.9%, and 55.3% against the second to 51.0%. He also converts far more break points (48.6% vs 44.8%).
Midon is 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4 and has won more of his recent matches (61% vs 50%). He also has the far better career records in deciding sets (57% vs 44%) and best-of-three matches (64% vs 48%).
Midon's return, form and record under pressure explain the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Midon | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 180 | 422 |
| Age | 22 | 20 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 62.1% | 59.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.0% | 67.5% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.2% | 49.9% |
| Break points saved | 56.1% | 58.0% |
| Break points converted | 48.6% | 44.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 45% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 51% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 57% | 44% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 64% | 48% |
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