PBTennis · Tennis Form Snapshot · Day 175
Wednesday Form Radar: second-round day, and a favourite who keeps winning
Second rounds across the Challengers, Stockholm with Fritz and Ruud, and the WTA Finals round robin. Today's board has 10 wrong-side alerts, led by a 24-point gap, and one crisis-tier favourite.
48 open matches | 10 tournaments | 10 wrong-side alerts | 6/8 level-form favs held yesterday |
Yesterday's board, checked
Every signal is checked against the next day's draw.
Level-form favourites went 6 of 8 and form-backed favourites 5 of 9. Two wrong-side alerts held, one of them at 3.00.
The hard part: the market won the wrong-side battle 8 of 10, including a 23-point gap.
| D174 signal | Held |
|---|---|
| Level form at short prices | 6 / 8 |
| Form-backed favourites | 5 / 9 |
| Sub-threshold underdogs | 2 / 3 |
| Equal odds, form leader | 1 / 2 |
| Wrong-side alerts | 2 / 10 |
| Late wrong-side alert (D172) | 1 / 1 |
Stockholm, WTA Finals and more: one form read open
The prices are public. Our 52-week form read on each match is on the members' board.
| Match | Odds | Form read |
|---|---|---|
| Stockholm · Fritz vs Norrie | 1.36 / 3.10 | Form agrees with the market |
| Stockholm · Ruud vs Shevchenko | 1.20 / 4.60 | 🔒 members |
| Stockholm · Rune vs Kecmanovic | 1.53 / 2.50 | 🔒 members |
| WTA Finals · Muchova vs Svitolina | 1.44 / 2.75 | 🔒 members |
| WTA Finals · Gauff vs Noskova | 1.53 / 2.50 | 🔒 members |
| Sopo · Andreescu vs Pigossi | 1.11 / 6.00 | 🔒 members |
| Brisbane · Kumstat vs McCabe | 1.25 / 3.75 | 🔒 members |
One of these six locked matches has a favourite in the crisis tier.
Today's 10 wrong-side alerts
In each of these, the market's favourite is the player in worse form.
| Event | Match | Gap |
|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos Challenger | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 24 |
| Stockholm ATP | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 17 |
| Orleans Challenger | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 17 |
| Monastir Challenger | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 17 |
| Matsuyama Challenger | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 14 |
| + 5 more alerts on the members' board | ||
One favourite to watch in Hersonissos. He has been the lower-rated favourite three times in the past fortnight and won all three, by gaps of 26, 28 and 23 points. Today he is 1.67 against a player rated 24 points higher.
44 boards in
| Signal (D130–D174) | Resolved | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Form-backed favourites (favourite wins) | 700 | 73% |
| Level form at short prices (favourite wins) | 259 | 73% |
| Sub-threshold underdogs (underdog advances) | 317 | 40% |
| Wrong-side alerts (underdog advances) | 422 | 36% |
Outcomes come from draw progression. These are small samples and not a betting performance record.
Unlock the full Day 175 board
All 48 matches with form tiers, all 10 wrong-side alerts named, the crisis watch, form arcs, and the full Excel and DOCX snapshot.
Open on Patreon →Match-by-match analysis, model review and filtered selections are in the Elite membership.
#Tennis #TennisBetting #ATP #WTA #ATPChallenger #WTA125 #TennisForm #WTAFinals #StockholmOpen #Fritz #Ruud #Rune #PBTennis
18+ only. Form ratings are an information tool, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
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