Second-round previews from the WTA Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Jazmin Ortenzi
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Polona Hercog vs Carole Monnet
🧠 Form & Context
Polona Hercog
- 📊 Ranked No. 200 at 35, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 64.6% on the first serve and 47.5% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 55.3% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season and 58% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner: 38.5% against the first serve and 52.9% against the second.
Carole Monnet
- 📊 Ranked No. 214 at 24, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 47% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The much better returner: 43.0% against the first serve and 58.3% against the second, and 49% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 49.8% of break points.
- 🚀 Lands 64.2% of first serves.
- ⚠️ A weak server: 59.2% behind the first serve, 42.0% behind the second (36% recently) and 50.6% of break points saved.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their one previous meeting, in Buenos Aires in 2023, ended in a retirement with no recorded winner. Both won their opening matches here, and Monnet is the 1.72 favourite although Hercog is ranked 14 places higher.
Hercog is the stronger server: 64.6% behind the first serve to 59.2%, 47.5% behind the second to 42.0%, and 55.3% of break points saved to 50.6%. Monnet lands more first serves (64.2% vs 60.4%).
Monnet is the much better returner: 43.0% against the first serve to 38.5%, and 58.3% against the second to 52.9%. She also converts more break points (49.8% vs 47.8%).
Monnet is 6–4 in her last 10 against 5–5, and they have won a similar share of recent matches (47% vs 44%). Hercog has won far more deciding sets this season (57% vs 33%).
Server against returner, in a match where breaks should come often.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Hercog | Monnet |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 200 | 214 |
| Age | 35 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 60.4% | 64.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.6% | 59.2% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 47.5% | 42.0% |
| Break points saved | 55.3% | 50.6% |
| Break points converted | 47.8% | 49.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 44% | 49% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 46% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 55% |
Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
🧠 Form & Context
Tatjana Maria
- 📈 Ranked No. 68 at 39, 7–3 in her last 10 and winning 69% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 65.8% of points won (69% recently).
- 🔒 Saves 53.3% of break points (58% recently).
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–2, 6–4 indoors in Poitiers in 2019.
- ⚠️ Lands only 56.8% of first serves, and has won 38% of deciding sets this season.
Alice Tubello
- 🔥 Ranked No. 146 at 25, 8–2 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 44.3% against the first serve and 59.0% against the second, and 50% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 50.1% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 59% of career tiebreaks and 67% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Wins only 59.1% behind her first serve and saves 52.2% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Maria won the first, 6–2, 6–4 indoors in Poitiers in 2019. The market cannot split them: both are priced at 1.83.
Maria has the bigger first serve (65.8% vs 59.1%) and saves slightly more break points (53.3% vs 52.2%). Tubello lands far more first serves (68.2% vs 56.8%) and is slightly stronger behind the second (46.5% vs 45.5%).
Tubello is the far better returner: 44.3% against the first serve to 38.5%, and 59.0% against the second to 52.4%. She also converts more break points (50.1% vs 46.1%).
Tubello is 8–2 in her last 10 against 7–3, while Maria has won more of her recent matches (69% vs 62%). Tubello has the better career records in tiebreaks (59% vs 51%) and best-of-three matches (67% vs 55%).
A genuine coin flip on price: Maria's experience and first serve against Tubello's return.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Maria | Tubello |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 68 | 146 |
| Age | 39 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 8–2 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 56.8% | 68.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 65.8% | 59.1% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 45.5% | 46.5% |
| Break points saved | 53.3% | 52.2% |
| Break points converted | 46.1% | 50.1% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 50% |
| Tiebreak win % | 51% | 59% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 46% | 54% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 67% |
Laura Samson vs Sofia Costoulas
🧠 Form & Context
Laura Samson
- 📈 Ranked No. 119 at 18, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.7% against the second, and 49% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 49.8% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season, 63% over her career and 66% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker on serve, and has won 46% of career tiebreaks. Her sample at this level is fairly small.
Sofia Costoulas
- 📉 Ranked No. 183 at 21, 3–7 in her last 10 and winning 45% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 64.7% on the first serve (67% recently) and 47.1% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 54.8% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 54% of career tiebreaks and 60% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner (39.8% against the first serve), and has won 45% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Samson won her opening match here and is the 1.29 favourite, ranked 64 places higher.
Costoulas is the stronger server: 64.7% behind the first serve to 62.6%, 47.1% behind the second to 44.9%, and 54.8% of break points saved to 53.1%. She also lands slightly more first serves (60.8% vs 59.2%).
Samson is the better returner: 43.8% against the first serve to 39.8%, and 58.7% against the second to 55.3%. She also converts more break points (49.8% vs 47.6%).
Samson is 5–5 in her last 10 against 3–7, and has won far more of her recent matches (63% vs 45%). Her deciding-set record is also far better (65% vs 45% this season).
Samson's return, form and record in deciding sets explain the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Samson | Costoulas |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 119 | 183 |
| Age | 18 | 21 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 3–7 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 60.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.6% | 64.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 44.9% | 47.1% |
| Break points saved | 53.1% | 54.8% |
| Break points converted | 49.8% | 47.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 49% | 45% |
| Tiebreak win % | 46% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 63% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 66% | 60% |
Lucia Bronzetti vs Elizabeth Mandlik
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Irene Burillo vs Julia Grabher
🧠 Form & Context
Irene Burillo
- 📊 Ranked No. 213 at 29, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.5% against the second, and 49% of career return points.
- 🚀 Lands 69.3% of first serves.
- 🏆 Has won 61% of career tiebreaks and 59% of deciding sets.
- ⚠️ A weak server: 55.5% behind the first serve, 42.4% behind the second and 49.9% of break points saved. Has lost both meetings.
Julia Grabher
- 📈 Ranked No. 115 at 30, 7–3 in her last 10 and winning 62% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 62.2% on the first serve and 44.6% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 55.2% of break points (57% recently).
- 🤝 Won both previous meetings on clay, most recently 6–1, 6–1 in Maspalomas in 2023. Has won 70% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner, although still strong: 40.9% against the first serve.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their third meeting. Grabher has won both of the first two, on clay, most recently 6–1, 6–1 in Maspalomas in 2023. She is the 1.22 favourite and is ranked 98 places higher.
Grabher is the stronger server: 62.2% behind the first serve to 55.5%, 44.6% behind the second to 42.4%, and 55.2% of break points saved to 49.9%. Burillo lands more first serves (69.3% vs 64.7%).
Burillo is the better returner: 43.8% against the first serve to 40.9%, and 58.5% against the second to 57.6%. She also converts slightly more break points (50.1% vs 49.0%).
Grabher is 7–3 in her last 10 against 5–5 and has won 70% of her deciding sets this season against 61%. Burillo has the better tiebreak record (61% vs 50%).
Grabher's serve, form and head-to-head explain the short price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Burillo | Grabher |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 213 | 115 |
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 2 |
| First serves in | 69.3% | 64.7% |
| 1st-serve points won | 55.5% | 62.2% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 42.4% | 44.6% |
| Break points saved | 49.9% | 55.2% |
| Break points converted | 50.1% | 49.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 49% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 61% | 50% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 59% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 60% |
Bianca Andreescu vs Laura Pigossi
🧠 Form & Context
Bianca Andreescu
- 🔥 Ranked No. 100 at 26, 9–1 in her last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The much stronger server: 64.9% on the first serve and 49.0% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 56.6% of break points, and 60% in recent matches.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–2, 6–1 on grass at Wimbledon in 2025.
- ⚠️ Slightly the weaker returner against the first serve (38.4%).
Laura Pigossi
- 📉 Ranked No. 263 at 32, 3–7 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches.
- 🔁 A strong returner: 42.2% against the first serve and 56.7% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 50.0% of break points.
- 🚀 Lands 68.3% of first serves.
- ⚠️ A weak server: 57.0% behind the first serve and 50.8% of break points saved (45% recently).
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Andreescu won the first, 6–2, 6–1 on grass at Wimbledon in 2025. Both won their opening matches here, and Andreescu is the overwhelming 1.05 favourite.
Andreescu is the much stronger server: 64.9% behind the first serve to 57.0%, 49.0% behind the second to 45.5%, and 56.6% of break points saved to 50.8%. Pigossi lands more first serves (68.3% vs 62.6%).
Pigossi is slightly the better returner against the first serve (42.2% vs 38.4%), and they are level against the second (56.7% vs 56.0%). Pigossi converts more break points (50.0% vs 45.9%).
The form gap is huge. Andreescu is 9–1 in her last 10 against 3–7, and has won 71% of her recent matches against 44%.
Andreescu's serve and form explain the very short price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Andreescu | Pigossi |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 100 | 263 |
| Age | 26 | 32 |
| Last 10 | 9–1 | 3–7 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 62.6% | 68.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.9% | 57.0% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.0% | 45.5% |
| Break points saved | 56.6% | 50.8% |
| Break points converted | 45.9% | 50.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 45% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 48% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 59% | 47% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 67% | 53% |
Maria Lourdes Carle vs Marina Bassols Ribera
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
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