Semifinal previews from the WTA 125 Cundinamarca Open in Sopo (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Laura Samson vs Elizabeth Mandlik
🧠 Form & Context
Laura Samson
- 📈 Ranked No. 119 at 18, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches. Beat Burillo in the quarterfinals.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43.8% against the first serve and 58.7% against the second.
- 🔒 Slightly stronger on serve, with 53.1% of break points saved.
- 🏆 Has won 65% of deciding sets this season, 63% over her career and 66% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 59.2% of first serves, and converts slightly fewer break points than Mandlik.
Elizabeth Mandlik
- 📊 Ranked No. 237 at 25, 6–4 in her last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches. Beat Lazaro Garcia in the quarterfinals.
- 🎯 Converts 50.6% of break points and wins 51% of career break-point chances.
- 🔁 A strong returner: 41.8% against the first serve and 56.7% against the second.
- 🚀 Close to Samson behind the first serve: 62.3% of points won.
- ⚠️ Lands only 56.6% of first serves and has won 41% of her tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting, in the semifinals. Samson is the 1.33 favourite and is ranked 118 places higher.
On serve Samson has a slight edge on every line: 62.6% vs 62.3% behind the first serve, 44.9% vs 44.5% behind the second, and 53.1% vs 51.2% of break points saved. She also lands more first serves (59.2% vs 56.6%).
Both return well, and Samson is better on both sides: 43.8% against the first serve to 41.8%, and 58.7% against the second to 56.7%. Mandlik converts slightly more break points (50.6% vs 49.8%).
Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Samson has won more of her recent matches (63% vs 52%) and far more deciding sets this season (65% vs 52%).
Expect plenty of breaks on clay. Samson leads on most lines, which explains the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Samson | Mandlik |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 119 | 237 |
| Age | 18 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 56.6% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.6% | 62.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 44.9% | 44.5% |
| Break points saved | 53.1% | 51.2% |
| Break points converted | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 49% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 46% | 41% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 63% | 51% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 66% | 55% |
Polona Hercog vs Bianca Andreescu
🧠 Form & Context
Polona Hercog
- 📊 Ranked No. 200 at 35, 5–5 in her last 10 and winning 44% of recent matches. Beat Tubello in the quarterfinals.
- 🔁 Level with Andreescu against the first serve: 38.5% of points won.
- 🎯 Converts 47.8% of break points (51% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Wins 47.5% behind her second serve and saves 55.3% of break points, both below Andreescu.
Bianca Andreescu
- 🔥 Ranked No. 100 at 26, 9–1 in her last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches. Beat Bassols Ribera in the quarterfinals.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 6–4, 6–2 at Wimbledon in June.
- 🚀 Slightly stronger on serve: 64.9% on the first serve, 49.0% on the second and 56.6% of break points saved (60% recently).
- 🔁 Better against the second serve: 56.0% of points won.
- 🏆 Has won 59% of career deciding sets and 67% of best-of-three matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A rematch of their meeting at Wimbledon in June, which Andreescu won 6–4, 6–2. She is the 1.30 favourite and is ranked 100 places higher.
Andreescu is slightly ahead on every serving line: 64.9% vs 64.6% behind the first serve, 49.0% vs 47.5% behind the second, and 56.6% vs 55.3% of break points saved. She also lands more first serves (62.6% vs 60.4%).
On return they are level against the first serve (38.4% vs 38.5%). Andreescu is better against the second (56.0% vs 52.9%), while Hercog converts more break points (47.8% vs 45.9%).
The form is firmly with Andreescu: 9–1 in her last 10 against 5–5, and 71% of recent matches won against 44%.
Andreescu leads on form, serve and the head-to-head. Hercog's break-point conversion is her best route back in.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Hercog | Andreescu |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 200 | 100 |
| Age | 35 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 9–1 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 1 |
| First serves in | 60.4% | 62.6% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.6% | 64.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 47.5% | 49.0% |
| Break points saved | 55.3% | 56.6% |
| Break points converted | 47.8% | 45.9% |
| Return points won (career) | 44% | 45% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 59% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 67% |
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