Final preview from the Angola Ladies Open in Luanda (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Anna Blinkova vs Sofya Lansere
🧠 Form & Context
Anna Blinkova
- 📈 Ranked No. 105 at 28, 7–3 in her last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The better server: 62.2% on the first serve and 43.7% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 53.9% of break points (57% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 54% of career deciding sets and 52% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ The slightly weaker returner, and has won 45% of deciding sets this season.
Sofya Lansere
- 📊 Ranked No. 266 at 26, 7–3 in her last 10, though winning 43% of recent matches overall.
- 🔁 The stronger returner: 42.6% against the first serve and 58.5% against the second, and 49% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 50.4% of break points.
- 🔥 Beat the favourites Kubka and Akugue Noha on the way to the final.
- ⚠️ Weak on serve: 41.1% behind her second serve (37% recently) and 52.6% of break points saved. Has won 37% of career tiebreaks and 33% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting, in the final. Blinkova is the heavy 1.22 favourite and is ranked 161 places higher.
Neither is a strong server, but Blinkova is the steadier one: 62.2% behind the first serve to 60.8%, 43.7% behind the second to 41.1%, and 53.9% of break points saved to 52.6%. They land first serves at almost the same rate (61.0% vs 61.6%).
Lansere is the better returner: 42.6% against the first serve to 39.6%, and 58.5% against the second to 57.1%. She also converts more break points (50.4% vs 48.2%).
Both are 7–3 in their last 10, but Blinkova has won far more of her recent matches (59% vs 43%). She also has the better record in tight finishes: 45% of deciding sets this season against 33%, and 52% of tiebreaks against 37%.
Expect lots of breaks. Blinkova's serve and experience explain the price, while Lansere's return has already taken out two favourites this week.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Blinkova | Lansere |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 105 | 266 |
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 61.0% | 61.6% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.2% | 60.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 43.7% | 41.1% |
| Break points saved | 53.9% | 52.6% |
| Break points converted | 48.2% | 50.4% |
| Return points won (career) | 46% | 49% |
| Tiebreak win % | 52% | 37% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 50% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 56% | 55% |
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