The rest of the second round at the Lisbon Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Alexander Ritschard vs Raul Brancaccio
🧠 Form & Context
Alexander Ritschard
- 🔥 Ranked No. 483 at 32, but 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 85% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger serve: 69.8% on first-serve points, 74% recently.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 80% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 6–0 6–4 indoors in 2024.
Raul Brancaccio
- 📊 Ranked No. 230 at 29, but 3–7 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The better returner on career numbers: 43% of return points won and 44.7% of break points converted.
- 🎾 Lands 61.8% of first serves.
- ⚠️ Winning only 39% of recent matches and converting 34% of break points lately.
- ⚠️ Only 45% of deciding sets won over his career.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A rematch of a one-sided indoor meeting in 2024, moved from Wednesday. Ritschard's ranking is misleading – he is on a 9–1 run – and he is a heavy favourite at 1.11, despite being ranked more than 250 places below Brancaccio.
Ritschard has the clearly stronger serve: 69.8% on first-serve points against 65.7%, and better break-point defence (60.5% vs 57.2%).
Brancaccio is the better returner on career numbers (43% vs 41%), but his form has dropped – just 39% of recent matches won.
Ritschard has also been excellent in tight finishes this season, winning 80% of his deciding sets.
Ritschard has the form, the serve and the head-to-head. Brancaccio needs a big turnaround.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Ritschard | Brancaccio |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 483 | 230 |
| Age | 32 | 29 |
| Last 10 | 9–1 | 3–7 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.1% | 61.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 69.8% | 65.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.0% | 48.3% |
| Break points saved | 60.5% | 57.2% |
| Break points converted | 41.4% | 44.7% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 45% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 60% | 56% |
Sumit Nagal vs Benjamin Hassan
🧠 Form & Context
Sumit Nagal
- 📊 Ranked No. 281 at 29, a former top-100 player, but 2–8 in his last 10.
- ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–1, including a three-set win in Targu Mures in June.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43% of return points won and 43.8% of break points converted.
- 🎾 Lands 67.9% of first serves and wins 56% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Saving only 52% of break points recently, and has won 43% of deciding sets this season.
Benjamin Hassan
- 📊 Ranked No. 497 at 31, 5–5 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Sanchez-Izquierdo in the first round.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 69.2% won, 71% recently.
- 🔒 Saving 61% of break points recently.
- ⚠️ Lands only 55% of first serves.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A fourth meeting. Nagal leads 2–1 and came from a set down to win their most recent, in Targu Mures in June. He is the favourite at 1.57.
Nagal is the better returner (43% vs 39% of return points) and lands far more first serves (67.9% vs 55%).
Hassan wins more points behind his first serve (69.2% vs 64.1%) and has been much stronger on break-point defence recently (61% vs 52%).
Form is the big question for the favourite: Nagal is 2–8 in his last 10 and has won only 43% of deciding sets this season, against Hassan's 53%.
Nagal has the return and the head-to-head; Hassan has the first serve and the better form. Closer than the price suggests.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Nagal | Hassan |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 281 | 497 |
| Age | 29 | 31 |
| Last 10 | 2–8 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 2 | 1 |
| First serves in | 67.9% | 55.0% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.1% | 69.2% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.5% | 50.3% |
| Break points saved | 56.6% | 58.3% |
| Break points converted | 43.8% | 41.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 48% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 57% |
Andrea Pellegrino vs Francesco Passaro
🧠 Form & Context
Andrea Pellegrino
- 📊 Ranked No. 144 at 29, 4–6 in his last 10.
- ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 3–2, including their most recent meeting in Perugia in 2025.
- ✅ Beat Martin Tiffon in the first round.
- 🔓 The sharper converter: 43.1% of break points won.
- ⚠️ Saves only 57.9% of break points.
Francesco Passaro
- 🔥 Ranked No. 146 at 25, 10–0 in his last 10 – a run that includes last week's Maia title.
- 🚀 The stronger serve: 68.3% on first-serve points and 52% on second, 72% and 55% recently.
- 🔒 Saves 60.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 55% of deciding sets over his career, 57% this season.
- ⚠️ Converts 41.5% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A sixth meeting between two Italians ranked side by side (No. 144 and No. 146). Pellegrino leads 3–2 and won the most recent, but Passaro arrives on a 10-match winning streak and is the favourite at 1.36.
Passaro has the stronger serve across the board, and it has been even better during his winning run.
On return they are level at 40% of return points each, though Pellegrino converts slightly more break points.
Their tiebreak records are identical (53%); Passaro has the better deciding-set and best-of-three numbers.
Passaro has the form and the serve; Pellegrino has the head-to-head. Closer than 1.36 suggests, but the streak is hard to ignore.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Pellegrino | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 144 | 146 |
| Age | 29 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 10–0 |
| Head-to-head | 3 | 2 |
| First serves in | 62.5% | 65.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 65.8% | 68.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.8% | 52.0% |
| Break points saved | 57.9% | 60.6% |
| Break points converted | 43.1% | 41.5% |
| Return points won (career) | 40% | 40% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 53% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 53% | 59% |
Andrej Martin vs Svyatoslav Gulin
🧠 Form & Context
Andrej Martin
- 📊 Ranked No. 358 at 37, 6–4 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Tiago Torres in the first round.
- 🏆 Has won 91% of deciding sets this season.
- 🔁 Returns well on clay: 42% of return points won.
- ⚠️ Weaker on the second serve: 48.9% won.
Svyatoslav Gulin
- 📊 Ranked No. 545 at 23, 6–4 in his last 10.
- ⚔️ Won their only meeting, 7–6 6–4 in Tulln in September.
- ✅ Beat Schoen in the first round.
- 🎾 Stronger behind his serve: 66.3% on first-serve points, 52.4% on second.
- 📊 69% career record in best-of-three.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A rematch from Tulln in September, which Gulin won in straight sets. Gulin is the favourite at 1.53 despite being ranked almost 200 places lower.
Gulin has the edge on serve, especially on the second ball (52.4% vs 48.9%), and saves slightly more break points.
On return there is little between them (43% vs 42% of return points), with Gulin converting more break chances.
Martin's weapon is his record in tight finishes: he has won 91% of deciding sets this season, against Gulin's 41%.
Gulin has the serve, the head-to-head and the career numbers. Martin's experience and deciding-set form make him a live underdog.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Martin | Gulin |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 358 | 545 |
| Age | 37 | 23 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 1 |
| First serves in | 61.8% | 61.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 65.7% | 66.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.9% | 52.4% |
| Break points saved | 57.4% | 58.8% |
| Break points converted | 43.7% | 46.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 47% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 57% | 58% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 69% |
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