More second-round previews from the Cali Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry
🧠 Form & Context
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 📈 Ranked No. 240 at 25, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 69% of recent matches.
- ✅ Beat Pereira in the first round.
- ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–1, with wins in Todi (2021) and Concepcion (2022).
- 🔁 The better returner: 45.4% of break points converted.
- ⚠️ Only 43% of deciding sets won over his career.
Nicolas Jarry
- 📊 Ranked No. 854 at 31, a former top-20 player rebuilding his ranking, 4–6 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Barrios Vera in the first round.
- 🚀 A huge serve: 74.8% on first-serve points, 53.4% on second, 64.3% of break points saved.
- ⚔️ Won their most recent meeting, 7–6 6–2 in Mexico City in 2022.
- ⚠️ Weak on return – 37.7% of break points converted – and limited recent data.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A fourth meeting, and the first since 2022. Pucinelli de Almeida leads 2–1 and is the favourite at 1.53, with Jarry at 2.37.
Jarry's serve is the biggest weapon on court: 74.8% on first-serve points against 66.3%, and 64.3% of break points saved against 58.6%.
Pucinelli de Almeida is the stronger returner – he wins far more points against the first serve (36.7% vs 28.3%) and converts 45.4% of his break chances against 37.7%.
Jarry's recent and career numbers at this level are limited as he rebuilds his ranking, which makes his current level hard to read.
Pucinelli de Almeida has the form, the return and the head-to-head. Jarry has the serve – and if it fires, he can beat anyone at this level.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Pucinelli de Almeida | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 240 | 854 |
| Age | 25 | 31 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 4–6 |
| Head-to-head | 2 | 1 |
| First serves in | 65.2% | 63.4% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.3% | 74.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.5% | 53.4% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 64.3% |
| Break points converted | 45.4% | 37.7% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | – |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | – |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 43% | – |
| Best-of-3 win % | 61% | – |
Miguel Tobon vs Nicolas Mejia
🧠 Form & Context
Miguel Tobon
- 📈 Ranked No. 466 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat the favourite Villanueva in the first round.
- 🔓 The sharper converter: 44.5% of break points won.
- 🎾 Wins 67% behind his first serve.
- ⚠️ Only 43% of deciding sets won, with a 46% career record in best-of-three.
Nicolas Mejia
- 📊 Ranked No. 115 at 26, 4–6 in his last 10, playing at home in Colombia.
- 🎾 The steadier server: 62% of first serves in, 67.7% won behind them, 51.1% on second.
- 🔒 Saves 60.3% of break points, 64% recently.
- 🏆 Has won 76% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Converting only 37% of break points recently.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Mejia, playing at home, is ranked 350 places higher and is the favourite at 1.36.
Tobon arrives after upsetting the favourite Villanueva in the first round.
Mejia has the edge on serve – more first serves in, more points won behind both serves, and better break-point defence (60.3% vs 58%).
Neither returns well (40% vs 39% of return points), so breaks will be at a premium – and Mejia has won 76% of his deciding sets this season.
Mejia has the serve, the ranking and the clutch record. Tobon has the momentum.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Tobon | Mejia |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 466 | 115 |
| Age | 20 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 4–6 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.0% | 62.0% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.0% | 67.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.9% | 51.1% |
| Break points saved | 58.0% | 60.3% |
| Break points converted | 44.5% | 41.5% |
| Return points won (career) | 39% | 40% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 51% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 43% | 51% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 46% | 53% |
Diego Dedura vs Felipe Meligeni Alves
🧠 Form & Context
Diego Dedura
- 📊 Ranked No. 190 at 18, left-handed, 4–6 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Kicker in the first round.
- 🎾 Lands 71.5% of first serves and wins 52.2% on second-serve points.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 43% of return points won.
- ⚠️ Only 62.1% won behind his first serve.
Felipe Meligeni Alves
- 📊 Ranked No. 396 at 28, 5–5 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Ficovich in the first round.
- 🚀 Serving well recently: 70% on first-serve points and 71% of break points saved.
- 🏆 Wins 59% of tiebreaks and has won 60% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Weaker on return: 40% of return points won.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Dedura is the favourite at 1.61, ranked more than 200 places higher.
Meligeni Alves is the more effective server – 66.5% on first-serve points against 62.1%, and 61.2% of break points saved against 58.6% – and has been even sharper recently.
Dedura lands far more first serves (71.5% vs 67.3%) and is slightly the better returner (43% vs 40%).
Their tight-set records are almost identical over their careers, and both have won 60% of their deciding sets this season.
Dedura has the ranking; Meligeni Alves has the serve and the experience. Closer than the price suggests.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Dedura | Meligeni Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 190 | 396 |
| Age | 18 | 28 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 71.5% | 67.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.1% | 66.5% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 52.2% | 50.9% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 61.2% |
| Break points converted | 46.3% | 43.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 40% |
| Tiebreak win % | 58% | 59% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 50% | 52% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 60% |
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana
🧠 Form & Context
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 📈 Ranked No. 352 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 72% of recent matches.
- ✅ Beat Ribero in the first round.
- 🔁 The better returner: 42% of return points won and 44.3% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 62% of deciding sets over his career and 71% this season.
- ⚠️ Lands only 57.4% of first serves.
Francisco Comesana
- 📊 Ranked No. 130 at 26, 5–5 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Hardt in the first round – their second meeting in two weeks.
- 🎾 Lands 66% of first serves and wins 67.6% behind them, 72% recently.
- 📊 62% career record in best-of-three.
- ⚠️ Winning only 48% of recent matches and 35% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Comesana is ranked more than 200 places higher and is a heavy favourite at 1.11.
On serve they are closer than the ranking suggests – 67.2% vs 67.6% on first-serve points – though Comesana lands far more first serves (66% vs 57.4%).
Zarate is the better returner (42% vs 41% of return points) and arrives in much better form, having won 72% of his recent matches.
Under pressure Zarate has the edge this season: 71% of deciding sets won against Comesana's 35%.
Comesana has the ranking and the first-serve percentage. Zarate's form and return make 1.11 look short.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Zarate | Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 352 | 130 |
| Age | 21 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 57.4% | 66.0% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.2% | 67.6% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.7% | 49.8% |
| Break points saved | 57.2% | 57.4% |
| Break points converted | 44.3% | 43.2% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 49% | 50% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 62% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 62% |
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