Tallon Griekspoor - Hamad Medjedovic

ATP Cincinnati

Tallon Griekspoor - Hamad Medjedovic

🧠 Form & Context

Tallon Griekspoor
🎯 Multi-surface success: Final in Marrakech (clay) and Mallorca title (grass) this year.
⛔ Hard-court restart stutter: Lost R2 Toronto to Etcheverry in straights.
🇺🇸 US Open Series struggles: Just 1 notable run (Washington 2023 final) — 0–2 at Cincinnati in career.
💪 Strengths: Flat, penetrating groundstrokes, big first serve; solid 8–5 on hard in 2025.

Hamad Medjedovic
⚡ Statement return: Crushed Kovacevic 6–2, 6–3 in R1 after injury layoff since Wimbledon retirement.
📊 Top-50 threat: 14–9 career vs top-50 despite never being ranked there himself.
📈 Masters record: 3rd career R2 at Masters level, with prior wins over top-35 opponents.
🔥 Upside: Huge serve + aggressive baseline game; higher ceiling than ranking suggests.

🔍 Match Breakdown

H2H: First meeting.

Griekspoor’s Key: Needs first-strike tennis, shorten points, and avoid baseline grinding where Medjedovic’s power can take over. His superior match fitness could be decisive in longer exchanges.

Medjedovic’s Chance: Dictate with serve and forehand, target Griekspoor’s backhand, and keep intensity high in sets to avoid dips — his issue in best-of-3 is sometimes losing focus after strong starts.

Conditions Impact: Cincinnati hard courts suit flat ball-strikers; both benefit, but Medjedovic’s heavier ball may get more out of them if he lands his first serve at a high clip.

🔮 Prediction

Medjedovic is dangerous here, especially if his first-serve percentage stays above 65%. However, Griekspoor’s sharper match rhythm and physical readiness make him the marginal favorite in a likely tight contest. Expect at least one tiebreak and a swingy momentum battle.

Prediction: Griekspoor in 3 sets — but upset potential is real if Medjedovic’s serve is locked in early.

🏷️ Labels: Tallon Griekspoor, Hamad Medjedovic, ATP Cincinnati, Tennis Betting, Match Preview