Sevastova vs Krueger

WTA Cincinnati

Sevastova A. - Krueger A.

🧠 Form & Context

Anastasija Sevastova
♻️ Comeback momentum: Returning from maternity break (2022–23) and ACL injury (2024), now producing steady wins since April.
🔥 Recent big scalp: Beat world No. 4 Jessica Pegula in Montreal — first top-10 win in 5+ years.
🇺🇸 North America comfort zone: Historically strong results in this part of the season, including Cincinnati R16 in 2017.
💡 Match toughness: Won her opener vs Emina Bektas despite letting match points slip in the 2nd set.

Ashlyn Krueger
📉 Cooling off: Early exit in Montreal (to Bouzas Maneiro) continued a dip since clay/grass season.
💎 Hard-court credentials: Abu Dhabi finalist, Miami R16, solid early-season wins vs Rybakina, Kasatkina, Fernandez.
⚠️ Top-100 struggles: Hasn’t beaten a top-100 opponent since Roland Garros.
📍 Cincinnati history: R2 last year; hard-court swing in 2024 helped pave her top-30 breakthrough.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Krueger has the heavier serve and first-strike capability, but her baseline rhythm has been erratic lately — she’s been gifting too many free points in rallies, especially against counterpunchers. That plays into Sevastova’s hands: the Latvian thrives on redirecting pace, mixing spins, and exploiting impatient opponents.
Sevastova’s fitness is still a question after limited match play the last few years, but she’s shown she can go three sets and outlast opponents mentally. If she gets Krueger into extended exchanges, she can frustrate the American and draw errors.
The key for Krueger will be to step inside the baseline early, shorten points, and serve at a high first-serve percentage. If she lets rallies drag, Sevastova’s variety and court craft could swing momentum her way.

🔮 Prediction

This is a volatile matchup: Sevastova is surging with confidence and recent high-profile wins, while Krueger is searching for hers. On current form, Sevastova has a realistic shot at the upset if she maintains intensity and keeps the ball out of Krueger’s strike zone. However, if Krueger serves well and cleans up her unforced errors, she still has the tools to edge through.

🏷️ Labels: Anastasija Sevastova, Ashlyn Krueger, WTA Cincinnati, Tennis Betting, Match Preview