Friday, July 4, 2025

Rublev vs Mannarino

🎾 ATP Wimbledon – Rublev vs Mannarino

🧠 Form & Context

Andrey Rublev

  • 🔓 Unlocking his composure: After turbulent months, Rublev showed improved emotional control in tough four-set wins over Djere and Harris.
  • 🧮 Ranking opportunity: Already back inside the live Top 10 with Rune and Musetti out—can climb higher with another win.
  • 📈 Slam success streak: Quarterfinalist last year at SW19, unbeaten in Wimbledon 3R matches (2–0 record).
  • 🎯 French hunter: Dominates French opponents in Slams (9–1 in last 10); only loss was in 2018 to Chardy.
  • 🔥 Grass warm-up: Played close matches at Halle and the Boodles, regaining timing after a flat clay finish.

Adrian Mannarino

  • 🌱 Grass renaissance: 10 of his 17 wins this year have come on grass; surface remains his career staple at age 37.
  • 👴 Still grinding: Beat Royer and O’Connell in straight sets before a four-setter in R2—looking physically sharp.
  • 🧊 Top-20 freeze: Career record of just 5–31 vs Top 20 players in Slams; hasn’t beaten one on grass since 2023.
  • 🎡 Wimbledon pattern: Has reached the 4R only three times in 16 attempts; hasn’t passed 3R since 2018.
  • 🧠 Style clash: Frustrating, flat strokes and soft touch can undo more powerful players—but only if he’s razor-sharp.

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