Mattia Bellucci vs Cameron Norrie

🎾 Wimbledon 2025 – 3rd Round Preview

Mattia Bellucci vs Cameron Norrie

🧠 Form & Context

Mattia Bellucci
🚀 Breakthrough run: The 23-year-old Italian is into the 3rd round of a Grand Slam for the first time in his career.
🔨 Slam growth: Has never lost a main-draw Slam match in straight sets, showing durability even in defeat (4-set battle vs Draper in Paris).
💪 Grass adaptation: Has gone 5–4 on grass this year, including a win over Jiri Lehecka in straights. Took out Oliver Crawford in R1 with only one set dropped.
📈 Confident striker: Claimed a H2H win over Norrie earlier this year in Monte Carlo qualifying—proof he’s not overwhelmed by big names.
📊 2025 overall: 16–21 W/L, but enters this match on a 5–1 run over his last six.

Cameron Norrie
🇬🇧 Home comforts: The 2022 Wimbledon semifinalist is building steam again, grinding out four-set wins over Bautista Agut and Tiafoe.
🔁 Ranking rebuild: Had fallen outside the Top 60 after a tough 18-month stretch, but solid clay results (R16 RG, SF Geneva) and this Wimbledon run put him on the comeback trail.
🧱 Reliable rhythm: Has returned to his vintage baseline consistency, thriving in longer rallies and physical contests.
🌿 Grass revival: Was 0–2 during the lead-in grass events but has flipped the switch under pressure in London. His only 3R win at Wimbledon came in 2022.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This matchup features a classic contrast of left-handed styles. Bellucci is more explosive, looking to dictate with pace off both wings and finish quickly, while Norrie prefers a war of attrition—blunting power, changing rhythm, and waiting for mistakes. Norrie’s edge lies in experience. He’s come through high-stress matches at Wimbledon before and knows how to pace himself over five sets. Bellucci, while talented and dangerous, hasn’t yet faced a prolonged Slam grind against an opponent with Norrie’s defensive skills. That said, Bellucci has handled aggressive players like Lehecka and Shelton well recently and already owns a win over Norrie this season. If he starts hot and lands forehands deep, he could put real scoreboard pressure on the Brit. But over time, expect Norrie’s consistency, smarter court positioning, and support from the home crowd to make the difference—especially in tight moments and longer exchanges.

🔮 Prediction

Bellucci is no pushover and should play with confidence and freedom. But Norrie’s experience at this level and his steady rhythm should wear the Italian down. Prediction: Cameron Norrie in 4 sets.