Thursday, July 3, 2025

Nakashima vs Opelka

🎾 ATP Wimbledon – Nakashima vs Opelka

🧠 Form & Context

Brandon Nakashima

  • 📈 Quietly effective: After first-round losses at the Australian and French Opens, he's built strong grass-court form with QFs at Stuttgart and Queen’s, and a R1 win here.
  • 🎾 Grass aptitude: Reached R4 at Wimbledon 2022. Now 29–18 lifetime on grass—thrives on low bounce and rhythm-heavy rallies.
  • 💪 Reliable form: 21–18 in 2025, with 9 wins in his last 13 matches, including three against Top 60 grass opponents.
  • 🇬🇧 Wimbledon pedigree: Broke through here and is 2–0 in Wimbledon 2R matches.

Reilly Opelka

  • 🚀 Best grass run: Has gone 7–4 this swing, with a SF in 's-Hertogenbosch and wins at Queen’s, Eastbourne, and Wimbledon R1 (d. Shevchenko).
  • 🧱 Slam inconsistencies: Just 3–5 in majors this year, and hasn't passed R2 since the 2021 US Open.
  • 💥 Serve-truck mode: Holding serve 92% of the time on grass in 2025, with 1.4 aces per game despite recent wrist concerns.
  • 🧠 Head-to-head: Trails 1–2 vs Nakashima. Most recent meeting was a 3-set loss at Delray Beach where he faded late.

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