Saturday, May 10, 2025

WTA Rome: Jasmine Paolini vs Ons Jabeur

WTA Rome: Jasmine Paolini vs Ons Jabeur

🧠 Form & Context

Ons Jabeur
After a strong start to 2024, Jabeur has lost momentum, winning just one of her last four matches. She advanced to Rome’s third round via walkover but remains short on rhythm and confidence. Her trademark creativity hasn’t translated well on slow clay without a reliable physical foundation. A former quarterfinalist in Rome, she’ll be searching for a reset here.

Jasmine Paolini
The Italian has been in the form of her life, reaching the semifinals in both Miami and Stuttgart. Now in the Rome third round for the first time, she’s playing with composure and intent. Her footwork and baseline stability are well-suited to clay, and she already beat Jabeur on this surface in Stuttgart just a few weeks ago.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Jabeur’s game is built on variety, but without consistent depth and physical sharpness, her drop shots and spins lose their sting. Paolini, in contrast, brings a measured, athletic game with the confidence of recent success. She’ll extend points and test Jabeur’s fitness and mental resolve, especially with a loud Roman crowd behind her.

Unless Jabeur recaptures peak form, she’ll struggle to consistently disrupt Paolini’s tempo. The Italian is better positioned to dictate play and absorb Jabeur’s flair without getting flustered.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Paolini in straight sets. Jabeur may flash brilliance, but Paolini’s form, discipline, and home advantage give her the upper hand on slow clay.

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