ATP Rome: Alexander Zverev vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

ATP Rome: Alexander Zverev vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Zverev
A two-time Rome champion, Zverev returns to one of his most successful venues amid a mixed 2025 season. While his consistency at the top level remains in question—failing to reach a Masters quarterfinal so far—his record in Rome (19–6) speaks for itself. With Jannik Sinner’s temporary absence no longer a distraction, Zverev may find mental relief and regain his groove on clay.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
The Argentine is enjoying a breakthrough year, entering Rome fresh off his first career Masters main-draw win. A natural clay-courter, Carabelli brings energy and patience from the baseline but lacks the big weapons to consistently hurt elite players. He’s winless in four attempts against top-10 opponents, though he’s made those matches competitive.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Zverev’s power on serve and comfort on slower surfaces make him a tough matchup for someone like Carabelli, who thrives on extended baseline exchanges but won’t be able to control rallies. The key here is whether Zverev can avoid the mental dips that have hurt him against lower-ranked players in 2025.

Carabelli’s best chance is to stay in rallies, vary his patterns, and hope Zverev’s level drops. But on this court, and with Zverev’s pedigree, that likely won’t be enough.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Zverev in straight sets. Expect the German to dictate with his serve and forehand, using this match as a confidence-building opener.