First-round previews from the Orleans Challenger (indoor hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Otto Virtanen vs Dino Prizmic
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Dalibor Svrcina vs Vitaliy Sachko
🧠 Form & Context
Dalibor Svrcina
- 🔥 Ranked No. 119 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 56% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 38.6% against the first serve and 55.7% against the second, and 45% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 48.4% of break points.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 7–5, 6–3 on clay in Barletta in April 2025.
- ⚠️ A weak server: 62.6% behind the first serve, 44.7% behind the second and 54.3% of break points saved.
Vitaliy Sachko
- 📊 Ranked No. 175 at 29, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 66.8% on the first serve (68% recently) and 47.8% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 57.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of career deciding sets and 87% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner, and has won 47% of career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Svrcina won the first, 7–5, 6–3 on clay in Barletta in April 2025. He is the 1.53 favourite and is ranked 56 places higher.
Sachko is the stronger server: 66.8% behind the first serve to 62.6%, 47.8% behind the second to 44.7%, and 57.6% of break points saved to 54.3%. Svrcina lands more first serves (65.9% vs 62.7%).
Svrcina is the far better returner: 38.6% against the first serve to 35.4%, and 55.7% against the second to 52.6%. He also converts more break points (48.4% vs 45.0%).
Svrcina is 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5, although they have won almost the same share of recent matches (56% vs 55%). Sachko has won more deciding sets this season (53% vs 46%).
Svrcina's return, form and their only meeting explain the price, while Sachko's serve keeps him in it.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Svrcina | Sachko |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 119 | 175 |
| Age | 24 | 29 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 65.9% | 62.7% |
| 1st-serve points won | 62.6% | 66.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 44.7% | 47.8% |
| Break points saved | 54.3% | 57.6% |
| Break points converted | 48.4% | 45.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 45% | 42% |
| Tiebreak win % | 52% | 47% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 57% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 57% | 58% |
Mattia Bellucci vs Cosme Rolland De Ravel
🧠 Form & Context
Mattia Bellucci
- 🔥 Ranked No. 66 at 25, a left-hander, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 63% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 72.6% on the first serve (74% recently) and 51.7% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 61.9% of break points, and 68% in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 56% of career tiebreaks, 56% of deciding sets and 62% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ A weak returner: 31.8% against the first serve, 49.4% against the second and 39.4% of break points converted.
Cosme Rolland De Ravel
- 🔥 Ranked No. 580 at 22, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 72% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 33.9% against the first serve and 56.3% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 44.9% of break points.
- 🔒 Saves 62.5% of break points (68% recently).
- ⚠️ His sample at this level is tiny, so figures such as his perfect deciding-set record come from very few matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Bellucci is ranked more than 500 places higher.
Bellucci is the stronger server: 72.6% behind the first serve to 69.9%, and 51.7% behind the second to 50.0%. They save break points at almost the same rate (61.9% vs 62.5%).
Rolland De Ravel is the better returner: 33.9% against the first serve to 31.8%, and 56.3% against the second to 49.4%. He also converts far more break points (44.9% vs 39.4%).
Both are 8–2 in their last 10, and Rolland De Ravel has won more of his recent matches (72% vs 63%). Bellucci has the better tiebreak record (56% vs 42%).
Bellucci's serve and ranking make him the clear favourite on paper, although Rolland De Ravel's numbers come from a very small sample.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Bellucci | Rolland De Ravel |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 66 | 580 |
| Age | 25 | 22 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 8–2 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 58.7% |
| 1st-serve points won | 72.6% | 69.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.7% | 50.0% |
| Break points saved | 61.9% | 62.5% |
| Break points converted | 39.4% | 44.9% |
| Return points won (career) | 38% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 42% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 56% | 100% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 62% | 68% |
Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Dusan Lajovic
🧠 Form & Context
Buvaysar Gadamauri
- 📊 Ranked No. 266 at 26, with a one-handed backhand, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 52% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 34.8% against the first serve, and 41% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 42.8% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 56% of career tiebreaks and 60% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker on serve: 66.3% behind the first serve and 51.1% behind the second.
Dusan Lajovic
- 📊 Ranked No. 163 at 36, also with a one-handed backhand, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 53% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 68.5% on the first serve (71% recently) and 52.3% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
- 🎯 Lands 65.8% of first serves.
- ⚠️ A weak returner: 29.9% against the first serve and 39.7% of break points converted (35% recently).
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Lajovic is ranked about 100 places higher.
Lajovic is slightly stronger on serve: 68.5% behind the first serve to 66.3%, 52.3% behind the second to 51.1%, and 60.5% of break points saved to 59.8%. He also lands more first serves (65.8% vs 63.9%).
Gadamauri is the better returner against the first serve (34.8% vs 29.9%), and they are level against the second (50.8% vs 50.3%). Gadamauri converts more break points (42.8% vs 39.7%).
Lajovic is 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, but they have won almost the same share of recent matches (53% vs 52%). Gadamauri has the better tiebreak record (56% vs 50%).
Lajovic's serve and experience make him the favourite on paper, but this looks close.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Gadamauri | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 266 | 163 |
| Age | 26 | 36 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 63.9% | 65.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.3% | 68.5% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.1% | 52.3% |
| Break points saved | 59.8% | 60.5% |
| Break points converted | 42.8% | 39.7% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 38% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 50% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 51% | 51% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 60% | 55% |
Adrien Gobat vs Daniel Altmaier
🧠 Form & Context
Adrien Gobat
- 🔥 Ranked No. 854 at 25, 8–2 in his last 10 and winning 71% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Has won 75% behind his first serve in recent matches.
- 🎯 Has converted 48% of break points recently.
- 🏆 Has won 63% of deciding sets this season and 91% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker on serve over the longer run (57.6% of break points saved), and his sample at this level is small.
Daniel Altmaier
- 📊 Ranked No. 63 at 28, with a one-handed backhand, 5–5 in his last 10 and winning 46% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The stronger server: 71.6% on the first serve and 50.0% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 61.4% of break points (63% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 72% of deciding sets this season and 55% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ A weak returner (31.3% against the first serve), and has converted only 36% of break points recently.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Altmaier is ranked almost 800 places higher.
Altmaier is the stronger server: 71.6% behind the first serve to 68.9%, 50.0% behind the second to 49.2%, and 61.4% of break points saved to 57.6%. He also lands more first serves (61.5% vs 59.9%).
On return they are close: 32.8% vs 31.3% against the first serve, and 51.3% vs 50.1% against the second, both slightly in Gobat's favour.
The form is clearly with Gobat: 8–2 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 71% of recent matches won against 46%. Altmaier has won more deciding sets this season (72% vs 63%).
Altmaier's ranking and serve make him the favourite on paper, but Gobat arrives in much better form.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Gobat | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 854 | 63 |
| Age | 25 | 28 |
| Last 10 | 8–2 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.9% | 61.5% |
| 1st-serve points won | 68.9% | 71.6% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.2% | 50.0% |
| Break points saved | 57.6% | 61.4% |
| Break points converted | 42.3% | 41.5% |
| Return points won (career) | 40% | 38% |
| Tiebreak win % | 52% | 55% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 58% | 57% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 58% | 59% |
Zsombor Piros vs Luca Nardi
🧠 Form & Context
Zsombor Piros
- 📈 Ranked No. 101 at 27, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 69% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 34.1% against the first serve and 52.2% against the second, and 41% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 44.4% of break points.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 4–6, 7–5, 6–2 indoors in Metz in 2022.
- ⚠️ Slightly weaker behind the first serve (66.5%) and lands only 60.4% of first serves.
Luca Nardi
- 📉 Ranked No. 239 at 23, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 45% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Wins 68.7% behind his first serve.
- 🔒 Saves 60.4% of break points (62% recently).
- 🎯 Lands 62.5% of first serves.
- ⚠️ Has won only 25% of deciding sets this season and 44% of career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Piros won the first, 4–6, 7–5, 6–2 indoors in Metz in 2022. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Piros is ranked 138 places higher.
On serve they are close. Nardi wins more behind the first serve (68.7% vs 66.5%), lands more first serves (62.5% vs 60.4%) and saves slightly more break points (60.4% vs 59.1%). Piros is stronger behind the second serve (52.0% vs 50.6%).
Piros is the better returner: 34.1% against the first serve to 31.2%, and 52.2% against the second to 51.4%. He also converts more break points (44.4% vs 40.2%).
Piros is 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, and has won far more of his recent matches (69% vs 45%). He has also won 67% of his deciding sets this season against 25%.
Piros leads on return, form and record in tight finishes, which makes him the favourite on paper.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Piros | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 101 | 239 |
| Age | 27 | 23 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 4–6 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 60.4% | 62.5% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.5% | 68.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 52.0% | 50.6% |
| Break points saved | 59.1% | 60.4% |
| Break points converted | 44.4% | 40.2% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 44% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 58% | 52% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 64% | 55% |
Sebastian Baez vs Daniil Glinka
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Shintaro Mochizuki vs Calvin Hemery
🧠 Form & Context
Shintaro Mochizuki
- 📊 Ranked No. 125 at 23, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 51% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 35.1% against the first serve and 53.2% against the second, and 42% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 44.3% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 58% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ A weak server: only 55.5% of first serves in, 46.7% behind the second serve and 56.1% of break points saved.
Calvin Hemery
- 📈 Ranked No. 274 at 31, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The much stronger server: 72.0% on the first serve and 49.4% on the second, with 62.1% of first serves in.
- 🔒 Saves 60.1% of break points (62% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets this season, 59% of best-of-three matches and 86% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner, and has converted only 38% of break points recently.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Mochizuki is ranked about 150 places higher.
Hemery is the much stronger server: 72.0% behind the first serve to 66.3%, 49.4% behind the second to 46.7%, and 60.1% of break points saved to 56.1%. He also lands far more first serves (62.1% vs 55.5%).
Mochizuki is the better returner: 35.1% against the first serve to 31.2%, and 53.2% against the second to 50.2%. He also converts more break points (44.3% vs 40.1%).
Hemery is 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6 and has won more of his recent matches (59% vs 51%). Mochizuki has the better tiebreak record (58% vs 54%).
Server against returner. Mochizuki's ranking says favourite, but Hemery's serve and form make this look close.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Mochizuki | Hemery |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 125 | 274 |
| Age | 23 | 31 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 55.5% | 62.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.3% | 72.0% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 46.7% | 49.4% |
| Break points saved | 56.1% | 60.1% |
| Break points converted | 44.3% | 40.1% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 38% |
| Tiebreak win % | 58% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 55% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 52% | 59% |
Nishesh Basavareddy vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
🧠 Form & Context
Hugo Grenier
- 📉 Ranked No. 394 at 30, 4–6 in his last 10 and winning 36% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Big first serve: 71.1% of points won, with 63.8% of first serves in.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 67% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Weak behind his second serve (47.3%) and on return against it (50.7%).
Kyrian Jacquet
- 📈 Ranked No. 80 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 61% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Stronger behind the second serve (50.1%), and has won 75% behind his first serve recently.
- 🔁 Slightly the better returner: 33.0% against the first serve and 52.4% against the second.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of career tiebreaks and 60% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Lands only 59.8% of first serves, and has won 43% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their third meeting, level at 1–1. Jacquet won the most recent, 6–3, 6–3 on a hard court in Cary in 2024. No prices were available when we wrote this, but Jacquet is ranked more than 300 places higher.
Grenier has the bigger first serve (71.1% vs 68.7%) and lands more first serves (63.8% vs 59.8%). Jacquet is stronger behind the second serve (50.1% vs 47.3%), and they save break points at almost the same rate (60.5% vs 59.6%).
Jacquet is slightly the better returner: 33.0% against the first serve to 31.8%, and 52.4% against the second to 50.7%. He also converts slightly more break points (42.3% vs 41.0%).
Jacquet is 6–4 in his last 10 against 4–6, and has won far more of his recent matches (61% vs 36%). Grenier has won more deciding sets this season (67% vs 43%).
Jacquet's ranking, form and their latest meeting make him the favourite on paper.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Grenier | Jacquet |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 394 | 80 |
| Age | 30 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 1 |
| First serves in | 63.8% | 59.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 71.1% | 68.7% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 47.3% | 50.1% |
| Break points saved | 60.5% | 59.6% |
| Break points converted | 41.0% | 42.3% |
| Return points won (career) | 39% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 51% | 57% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 52% | 52% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 57% | 60% |
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