First-round previews from the Lima 3 Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Facundo Mena vs Max Alcala Gurri
🧠 Form & Context
Facundo Mena
- 📊 Ranked No. 196 at 34, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 59% of recent matches.
- 🚀 The much stronger server: 70.6% on the first serve and 50.5% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 57.9% of break points, and 65% in recent matches.
- 🤝 Won their only meeting, 0–6, 6–0, 6–2 on clay in Porto in September. Has won 56% of career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Lands only 54.8% of first serves and has converted 35% of break points recently.
Max Alcala Gurri
- 🔥 Ranked No. 130 at 24, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 75% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 40.6% against the first serve and 57.5% against the second, and 47% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 48.6% of break points.
- 🚀 Lands 71.2% of first serves. Has won 62% of best-of-three matches.
- ⚠️ Weak behind the serve: 61.4% on the first, 44.4% on the second and 53.7% of break points saved.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Mena won the first, 0–6, 6–0, 6–2 on clay in Porto in September. Alcala Gurri is the 1.36 favourite and is ranked 66 places higher.
Mena is the much stronger server: 70.6% behind the first serve to 61.4%, 50.5% behind the second to 44.4%, and 57.9% of break points saved to 53.7%. Alcala Gurri lands far more first serves (71.2% vs 54.8%).
Alcala Gurri is the far better returner: 40.6% against the first serve to 33.8%, and 57.5% against the second to 51.2%. He also converts far more break points (48.6% vs 42.5%).
The form is with Alcala Gurri: 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4, and 75% of recent matches won against 59%. Mena has the better career records in deciding sets (57% vs 49%) and tiebreaks (56% vs 49%).
Server against returner on clay. Alcala Gurri's return and form explain the price, while Mena's serve and his win in Porto keep this interesting.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Mena | Alcala Gurri |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 196 | 130 |
| Age | 34 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 54.8% | 71.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 70.6% | 61.4% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.5% | 44.4% |
| Break points saved | 57.9% | 53.7% |
| Break points converted | 42.5% | 48.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 47% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 49% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 57% | 49% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 57% | 62% |
Hugo Dellien vs Tristan Boyer
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Miguel Tobon vs Henrique Rocha
🧠 Form & Context
Miguel Tobon
- 📊 Ranked No. 432 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 50% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Wins 67.5% behind his first serve, level with Rocha.
- 🎯 Converts 44.7% of break points (46% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 50% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Has won only 44% of career deciding sets and 47% of best-of-three matches. His sample at this level is small.
Henrique Rocha
- 📈 Ranked No. 99 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 55% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 34.8% against the first serve and 52.7% against the second, and 42% of career return points.
- 🚀 Lands 60.6% of first serves and wins 50.6% behind his second (53% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 54% of career tiebreaks and 86% of matches after taking the first set.
- ⚠️ Has won only 45% of deciding sets this season.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Rocha is the 1.28 favourite and is ranked more than 300 places higher.
On serve they are very close: 67.5% vs 67.3% behind the first serve, 49.8% vs 50.6% behind the second, and 58.1% vs 57.3% of break points saved. Rocha lands slightly more first serves (60.6% vs 59.2%).
Rocha is the better returner: 34.8% against the first serve to 31.8%, and 52.7% against the second to 51.0%. Tobon converts slightly more break points (44.7% vs 43.0%).
Rocha is 7–3 in his last 10 against 6–4 and has won slightly more of his recent matches (55% vs 50%). He also has the better career records in deciding sets (53% vs 44%) and tiebreaks (54% vs 50%).
Rocha's return and ranking explain the price, though on serve there is very little between them.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Tobon | Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 432 | 99 |
| Age | 20 | 22 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.2% | 60.6% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.5% | 67.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 49.8% | 50.6% |
| Break points saved | 58.1% | 57.3% |
| Break points converted | 44.7% | 43.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 39% | 42% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 44% | 53% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 47% | 57% |
Arklon Huertas Del Pino vs Lautaro Midon
🧠 Form & Context
Arklon Huertas Del Pino
- 📉 Ranked No. 755 at 32, 3–7 in his last 10 and winning 48% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Wins 65.7% behind his first serve and saves 58.3% of break points.
- 🎯 Converts 44.5% of break points (46% recently).
- 🏆 Has won 56% of career deciding sets.
- ⚠️ The weaker returner: 35.6% against the first serve and 52.4% against the second. Has won 45% of deciding sets this season.
Lautaro Midon
- 🔥 Ranked No. 185 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 60% of recent matches. Reached the quarterfinals in Costa do Sauipe last week.
- 🔁 The far better returner: 39.2% against the first serve and 55.3% against the second, and 45% of career return points.
- 🎯 Converts 48.6% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 66% of deciding sets this season and 64% of best-of-three matches over his career.
- ⚠️ Saves 56.1% of break points and has won 48% of career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Midon is the heavy 1.18 favourite and is ranked 570 places higher.
On serve they are close. Huertas Del Pino wins slightly more behind the first serve (65.7% vs 64.0%) and saves more break points (58.3% vs 56.1%), while Midon is a fraction ahead behind the second (49.3% vs 48.6%).
Midon is the far better returner: 39.2% against the first serve to 35.6%, and 55.3% against the second to 52.4%. He also converts more break points (48.6% vs 44.5%).
The form is clearly with Midon: 7–3 in his last 10 against 3–7, 60% of recent matches won against 48%, and 66% of deciding sets this season against 45%.
Midon's return and form explain the short price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Huertas Del Pino | Midon |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 755 | 185 |
| Age | 32 | 22 |
| Last 10 | 3–7 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 61.9% | 62.1% |
| 1st-serve points won | 65.7% | 64.0% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.6% | 49.3% |
| Break points saved | 58.3% | 56.1% |
| Break points converted | 44.5% | 48.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 45% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 48% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 56% | 57% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 64% |
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