PB Tennis · Friday 16 October 2026 · Outdoor hard
Daily Board Wuhan & Shanghai
6 matches: the four Wuhan quarter-finals (WTA 1000) and two Shanghai Masters quarter-finals. Pinnacle prices, Polymarket prices and form snapshots for every match. Each match links to today's Patreon post. Elite and $4.99 selections are for Patreon members.
1 ELITE PICK TODAY Jodar–Ruud. Pick, stake and full form audit on Patreon.
Join PBTennis on Patreon ↗Elite: pick and analysis for Patreon Elite members$4.99: pick for Patreon $4.99 membersCFS: Combined Form Score (0–100)Last 3: newest result firstTimes are TRT
Wuhan Open · WTA 1000
Quarter-finals · 4 matches · 2 $4.9905:00TRT · QF
Diana Shnaider vs Jelena OstapenkoPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket | CFS | L10 | L10 hard | L52W | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana ShnaiderFAV | 1.446 | 67.5% | 66.5¢ | 68.0 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 36-22 | W·W·W |
| Jelena Ostapenko | 3.010 | 32.5% | 33.5¢ | 51.6 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 26-20 | W·W·W |
$4.99 PICK Selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗
Polymarket sets: Shnaider -1.5 45.5¢ · Ostapenko +1.5 54.5¢ · vol $41.7K
06:30TRT · QF
Elina Svitolina vs Sonay KartalPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket | CFS | L10 | L10 hard | L52W | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elina SvitolinaFAV | 1.473 | 65.9% | 66.5¢ | 78.9 | 8-2 | 8-2 | 50-16 | W·W·L |
| Sonay Kartal | 2.850 | 34.1% | 33.5¢ | 76.7 | 8-2 | 8-2 | 18-9 | W·W·W |
Polymarket sets: Svitolina -1.5 43¢ · Kartal +1.5 57¢ · vol $10.5K
08:00TRT · QF
Maja Chwalinska vs Maria SakkariPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket | CFS | L10 | L10 hard | L52W | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | 2.120 | 45.8% | 45.5¢ | 61.7 | 6-4 | 6-4 | 40-20 | W·W·W |
| Maria SakkariFAV | 1.793 | 54.2% | 54.5¢ | 66.5 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 28-22 | W·W·W |
Polymarket sets: Sakkari -1.5 35¢ · Chwalinska +1.5 65¢ · vol $18.9K
13:00TRT · QF
Ann Li vs Iga SwiatekPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket | CFS | L10 | L10 hard | L52W | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ann Li | 5.040 | 19.3% | 19.5¢ | 66.7 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 34-26 | W·W·L |
| Iga SwiatekFAV | 1.204 | 80.7% | 80.5¢ | 78.0 | 8-2 | 8-2 | 44-17 | W·W·L |
$4.99 PICK Selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗
Polymarket sets: Swiatek -1.5 58.5¢ · Li +1.5 41.5¢ · vol $13.0K
Rolex Shanghai Masters · ATP 1000
Quarter-finals · 2 matches · 1 Elite · 1 $4.9908:30TRT · QF
Rafael Jodar vs Casper RuudPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael JodarFAV | 1.800 | 54.3% | 54.5¢ |
| Casper Ruud | 2.140 | 45.7% | 45.5¢ |
ELITE Pick, stake and full form audit for Patreon Elite members. Unlock on Patreon ↗
Polymarket sets: Jodar -1.5 33¢ · Ruud +1.5 67¢ · vol $56.9K
12:00TRT · QF
Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy PaulPatreon ↗Polymarket ↗
| Player | Pinnacle | No-vig | Polymarket | CFS | L10 | L10 hard | L52W | Last 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil MedvedevFAV | 1.471 | 66.3% | 66.5¢ | 93.2 | 10-0 | 10-0 | 51-19 | W·W·W |
| Tommy Paul | 2.900 | 33.7% | 33.5¢ | 70.0 | 7-3 | 7-3 | 42-18 | W·W·W |
$4.99 PICK Selection and stake for Patreon $4.99 members. Unlock on Patreon ↗
Polymarket sets: Medvedev -1.5 41.5¢ · Paul +1.5 58.5¢ · vol $26.1K
Pinnacle no-vig % is the moneyline price with the margin removed. Polymarket prices are in cents (¢), roughly the implied probability, captured 05:00 TRT 16.10. They move after that, so check the market page before acting. Volume is the whole Polymarket event.
COLLAPSE = the player's last completed hard-court match was a straight-sets loss.
Form is the first question, not the answer. Nothing here is a pick.
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