Friday, August 22, 2025

Trungelliti vs Llamas Ruiz

Trungelliti vs Llamas Ruiz — US Open Q3 Preview
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Trungelliti vs Llamas Ruiz — US Open Q3 Preview

ATP US Open Qualifying Hard Court Qualifying Round 3

🧠 Form & Context

Marco Trungelliti (No. 183, age 35)

  • 🎾 Veteran grinder: Over 650 career wins, mostly on clay. Known for fighting spirit in long matches.
  • 🔥 US Open qualies 2025: Knocked out Eubanks and Garin—both higher-ranked and dangerous hard-court players. Two big scalps already.
  • 📊 2025 record: 32–24 overall, 4–4 on hard.
  • ⚠️ Limitation: Aging legs and heavy schedule—often struggles to sustain top level in back-to-back best-of-5 contests at majors.

Pablo Llamas Ruiz (No. 355, age 22)

  • 📈 Rising Spaniard: Career-high 131, rebuilding after injuries earlier this year.
  • 🔥 US Open qualies 2025: Defeated Hanfmann and Martín to reach Q3, dropping just one set.
  • 📊 2025 record: 22–16 overall, 4–4 on hard.
  • ⚠️ Inexperience: Just his 2nd Slam Q3 (after Roland Garros), still looking for first Grand Slam main draw.

📜 Head-to-Head

  • 2024 Barcelona qualies (clay): Trungelliti d. Llamas Ruiz 6-3, 5-7, 6-4

H2H: Trungelliti leads 1–0

🔍 Match Breakdown

Trungelliti’s keys: Experience, return consistency, and tactical variety. He thrives on breaking rhythm and forcing younger opponents into long rallies.

Llamas Ruiz’s keys: Stay aggressive, trust his forehand, and avoid getting dragged into physical marathons. Needs to serve well to shorten points.

Context: Both are 4–4 on hard in 2025, but Trungelliti has already beaten two big names here, while Llamas has had a lighter draw.

🔮 Prediction

This is a clash of youth vs experience. Trungelliti is the more battle-tested, but fatigue after two tough wins could weigh on him. Llamas Ruiz, at 22, has fresher legs and is motivated to crack his first Slam main draw.

Pick: Llamas Ruiz in 3 tight sets. (If it turns into a grind over 3+ hours, Trungelliti’s savvy could still flip it.)

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