Jannik Sinner vs Vit Kopriva

🎾 US Open Betting Notebook
Full previews & betting angles on Patreon.

Jannik Sinner vs Vit Kopriva — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court First Round

🧠 Form & Context

Jannik Sinner (No. 1, age 24)

• 🇮🇹 Current world No. 1 and defending US Open champion.
• 📊 2025 record: 31–4 (12–1 on hard). Titles: Australian Open, Wimbledon. Roland Garros finalist.
• 🔥 Streak: 26-match unbeaten run on hard ended in Cincinnati via retirement (illness). Last completed hard-court loss = Oct 2024, Beijing.
• 🏟️ US Open history: 2024 champion, 2022 quarterfinalist. Dropped only two sets in last year’s title run.
• 💡 Slam trend: Hasn’t lost a set in opening week at RG or Wimbledon this year.

Vit Kopriva (No. 89, age 28)

• 🇨🇿 Late bloomer, broke top 100 in 2025.
• 📊 2025 record: 33–19 (11–8 on hard). Highlight: Rome Masters R3 (d. Baez, Halys).
• 🏟️ Slam record: 1–3 in main draws, lone win vs Monteiro (Roland Garros 2025, 5 sets).
• 💡 Note: First US Open main draw after years of failed qualies. Faced Djokovic at Wimbledon 2024 (straight-sets loss).
• ⚠️ Problem: 0–2 vs top-5, never won a set.

🔍 Match Breakdown

H2H: First meeting.

Sinner’s pace, depth, and baseline command should overwhelm Kopriva’s more clay-based style. Kopriva must mix slices and attack second serves, but maintaining that for three-plus sets against this version of Sinner feels unlikely. Even if Sinner is not 100% after his Cincinnati illness, early Slam rounds rarely test him physically.

🔮 Prediction

Kopriva is making a well-earned Slam debut in New York, but this is about damage control. Sinner is too dominant, too sharp, and too ruthless in opening rounds to be troubled here.

Pick: Sinner in 3 sets — likely with at least one lopsided scoreline (6–0 or 6–1 possible).

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Serve/forehand axis: Huge edge to Sinner.
• Baseline quality: Sinner’s pace & consistency vs Kopriva’s steadier clay habits.
• Form: Sinner in historic form; Kopriva gaining experience but untested at this level.
• Experience: Defending champion vs first-time US Open MD entrant.
• Upside ceiling: Kopriva’s run = progress, but gap is massive.