Billy Harris vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

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Harris vs Auger-Aliassime — US Open 1R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

Billy Harris (No. 151, age 30)

• 🇬🇧 Journeyman Brit sneaks in as a lucky loser after falling to Coleman Wong in qualies.
• 📊 2025: 28–33 overall, 21–16 on hard.
• 🔥 Highlights: Wimbledon 2R (d. Lajovic), Eastbourne QF.
• ⚠️ Limitation: Rarely beats top players, though owns three top-50 scalps.
• 🏟️ Slam record: First non-Wimbledon MD appearance; 0–1 at AO qualies, 0–1 at RG qualies.

Felix Auger-Aliassime (No. 27, age 25)

• 🇨🇦 Dangerous when hot, still chasing week-to-week consistency.
• 📊 2025: 31–20 overall, 16–8 on hard; titles in Adelaide & Montpellier.
• 🏟️ US Open: SF in 2021, R16 in 2022, but R1 exits in 2023 & 2024.
• ⚠️ Slams 2025: 2–3; twice lost from two sets up.
• 💡 Strengths: Huge serve + forehand, elite athleticism. Weakness: Nerves over long, tight matches.

🔍 Match Breakdown

• H2H: First meeting.
• Keys: Harris aims to extend rallies and lean on steadiness; Felix must avoid passive patches and step into returns to seize +1 forehand looks.
• Form: Harris enters via LL with house-money mindset; Felix carries baggage of recent USO R1 exits and blown Slam leads.
• Dynamic: Match sits on Felix’s racquet — if he lands first-serve patterns and protects second serve with depth, Harris’s pressure ceiling is limited.

🔮 Prediction

Auger-Aliassime has been burned by early Slam exits, but this opener is forgiving. Harris can frustrate with solidity and lengthen sets, yet Felix’s first-strike weapons should control scoreboard pressure if he stays assertive on return games.

Pick: Auger-Aliassime in straight sets — Harris may keep it tight early, but Felix should impose quickly.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Serve/first strike: Clear edge Felix; Harris must chip deep and neutralize +1 forehand patterns.
• Rally tolerance: Edge Harris in pure grind, but only if he consistently gets into neutral.
• Big-point poise: Volatile for Felix; early breaks calm the nerves.
• Upset paths: Harris needs long, attritional sets, exploit Felix’s second serve, and sneak a tiebreak.
• NYC history: Felix’s 2021 SF vs back-to-back R1 losses — early temperature check matters.