Wednesday, July 23, 2025

Matteo Arnaldi 🇮🇹 vs. Lorenzo Sonego 🇮🇹

🎾 ATP Washington 2025 – Round of 32 Preview

Matteo Arnaldi 🇮🇹 vs. Lorenzo Sonego 🇮🇹

📍 Washington, D.C. | 🗓️ July 24 | 🎾 Hard (Outdoor)

🧠 Form & Context

Matteo Arnaldi
🎢 On a rollercoaster: Snapped a three-match losing streak with a comeback win over Altmaier in R1, saving three match points in the final set.
Big-game potential: Owns 2025 wins over Djokovic, Rublev, and Auger-Aliassime. Has reached four quarterfinals this season.
📉 Under pressure: Needs ranking points here with semifinal points to defend in Canada next week.
🧱 Grit over form: Often finds a way to win despite patchy tennis—thrives in tough, physical matches on hard courts.

Lorenzo Sonego
🎯 Slam specialist: Despite a 14–17 season record, his QF at the Australian Open and R4 at Wimbledon have kept him relevant.
📉 ATP-level inconsistency: Hasn’t won consecutive ATP main draw matches outside Slams this year.
📈 Searching for rhythm: Yet to make a deep run at 500-level events in 2025.
🎾 Firepower factor: Dangerous serve and forehand combo—but prone to cold spells and slow starts.

🔍 Match Breakdown

This all-Italian battle pits Arnaldi’s grit against Sonego’s shotmaking. Arnaldi showed massive resilience in his R1 escape and seems to find an extra gear when backed into a corner. His movement and defense could be vital on D.C.'s slower hard courts.

Sonego is the aggressor, and if his first serve lands consistently, he could bulldoze his way through short points. But Washington’s conditions may neutralize his pace and allow Arnaldi to extend rallies, forcing Sonego into uncomfortable territory.

It’s their first-ever ATP meeting, and both will look to test early patterns. Expect Sonego to strike early, while Arnaldi aims to weather the storm and grind his way into the match.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Arnaldi in 3 sets — If he survives the initial barrage, his footspeed and tactical patience give him a slight edge in what should be a tight, momentum-shifting contest.

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