🎾 ATP Mallorca – Round 1 Preview Damir Džumhur vs Arthur Rinderknech

🎾 ATP Mallorca – Round 1 Preview

Damir Džumhur vs Arthur Rinderknech

Can Džumhur’s Iberian rhythm and slice disrupt Arthur’s Queen’s Club confidence? Expect sharp contrasts and short points.

🧠 Form & Context

Damir Džumhur
🔥 Clay-court renaissance in ’25: 26 match wins, SF runs in Bucharest & Cap Cana, 3R at Roland-Garros.
🚑 A nagging hip tweak forced a retirement in Stuttgart two weeks ago; grass debut ended after one set.
🌱 Limited lawn success lately (0-4 since 2022), but his low backhand slice can be pesky on slick courts.
🎯 Loves the Iberian swing—3 Challenger titles in Spain last year, momentum saver after slow starts.

Arthur Rinderknech
⚡ Queen’s Club surge: qualified, upset Shelton & Opelka, and pushed Alcaraz in the QF—best stretch of 2025.
💣 Serve meter tops 210 km/h, firing 10.7 aces per match during that run.
🌀 Season before Queen’s was choppy (9 straight losses), yet grass historically steadies his game (career 19-19).
🏥 No lingering effects from the left-wrist inflammation that dogged his clay season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

🎾 First-strike duel: Arthur’s seismic serve + flat forehand versus Damir’s counter-punching and quick returns.
⏳ Rally length factor: Points over 5 strokes tilt heavily toward Džumhur; sub-5-stroke points favor the Frenchman.
🏃‍♂️ Movement vs. reach: The Bosnian’s agility forces Arthur to volley low; if Rinderknech half-volleys cleanly, he dictates.
⛔ Break-point mettle:
- Džumhur saves 55% this year (down from 62% in ’24).
- Rinderknech converts just 37%—can’t afford waste on quick grass sets.
🧊 Clutch nerves: Both hover near .500 in tie-breaks for 2025; mini-break returns could decide everything.

🔮 Prediction

Džumhur’s craft keeps him competitive, but Arthur’s fresh grass confidence and serve firepower look decisive. Unless Damir stretches rallies and tests that wrist with body-returns, the Frenchman should squeeze through.

Prediction: Rinderknech in 2 tight sets (7-6, 6-4)

📊 Tale of the Tape

• H2H: First meeting
• 2025 W/L: Džumhur 26–15 • Rinderknech 12–14
• Grass W/L (Career): Džumhur 10–20 • Rinderknech 19–19
• Best 2025 Result: Džumhur (RG 3R) • Rinderknech (Queen’s Club QF)