Sunday, June 22, 2025

ATP Halle Final – Bublik vs Medvedev

ATP Halle Final – Bublik vs Medvedev

🧠 Form & Context

Alexander Bublik

  • 🔥 Clutch king: Four straight comeback wins this past month, including a takedown of World No. 1 Sinner and a nervy tiebreak escape vs Khachanov in the semifinals.
  • 🌾 Title déjà vu: Won Halle in 2023 by beating Sinner, Zverev, and Rublev — déjà vu vibes as he knocks off Sinner again this week.
  • 🎯 Serve-volley groove: Averaging 24 aces per match and winning 76% of first-serve points on these quick Halle courts.
  • 🪄 Trick-shot mood: When relaxed, he flows — drop shots, tweeners, volleys. When tense, the double faults creep in (averaging 8.2 per match this year).

Daniil Medvedev

  • 🔄 Revival week: Into his first final since Indian Wells 2024, breaking a run of quarterfinal and early exits.
  • 💀 Head-to-head stranglehold: Leads Bublik 7–0 in H2H (15–1 in sets). His flat returns and baseline consistency neutralize the Kazakh’s flair.
  • 🥶 Five-final skid: Has lost five finals in a row, but all to elites like Djokovic, Alcaraz, and Sinner. Sees this as a real chance to reset the trend.
  • 🌱 Grass comfort: Often overlooked — career 61–25 on grass and a Halle finalist in 2022 (lost to Hurkacz).

🔍 Match Breakdown

Flair meets discipline. Serve meets return. Halle’s 2025 crown is on the line. Get the full final edge — just €4.99/month on Patreon.

🔗 Read full final preview on Patreon

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