Wednesday, May 7, 2025

🎾 ATP Rome: Jordan Thompson vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

🎾 ATP Rome: Jordan Thompson vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard – Match Preview

🧠 Form & Context

🇦🇺 Jordan Thompson

  • Season setback: After a standout 2024, injuries and inconsistency have limited him to just six tournaments in 2025 with a 6–6 record.
  • Monte Carlo revival: Beat Mpetshi Perricard in R1 and took Tsitsipas to three sets, offering hope of a turnaround before going inactive again post-Monte Carlo.
  • Clay concerns: Historically struggles on this surface—just 1–4 on European clay in 2024—but competes well with flat hitting and strong resolve.
  • Ranking pressure: Needs results this clay swing to protect ranking points heading into the grass season.

🇫🇷 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Regression in 2025: After a promising 2024, he’s 6–8 this season and currently on a five-match losing streak, all in straight sets.
  • Clay incompatibility: His big-serving, fast-court game hasn’t adapted well—struggling in Monte Carlo, Barcelona, and Madrid.
  • Confidence crisis: Hasn’t won a set since early April and looks increasingly tentative under pressure.
  • H2H woes: Lost all four previous meetings against Thompson, including a recent straight-sets defeat in Monte Carlo.

🔍 Match Breakdown

While both players are in need of a turnaround, Thompson holds a tactical and psychological advantage. His consistent returning, baseline stability, and comfort disrupting rhythm have repeatedly exposed the Frenchman’s weaknesses—particularly on clay.

The conditions in Rome—slow and high-bouncing—further diminish the effectiveness of Mpetshi Perricard’s big serve and short-point style. His movement and shot selection on clay remain exploitable liabilities, especially against a player like Thompson who thrives in longer rallies.

Unless the Frenchman dramatically elevates both his level and confidence, the matchup is likely to mirror their recent encounter in Monte Carlo.

🔮 Prediction

Prediction: Thompson in straight sets. Expect a repeat performance from Monte Carlo as the Aussie absorbs pressure and exploits Perricard’s clay vulnerabilities.

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