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Fritz vs Vukic — Paris R2 Preview
🧠 Form & Context
🇺🇸 Taylor Fritz (#4, righty)
- 2025: 53–21 | Hard 30–11 | Indoors 6–3.
- ✅ Top-4 presence all year; ATP Finals berth nearly locked.
- ❌ Form dip lately — straight-set losses in Shanghai (Mpetshi Perricard) & Basel (Humbert); scraped past Vacherot in Basel R1.
- 🏛️ Paris history: QF (2021); last three runs ended in R2.
- 🔁 H2H: leads 3–0 (sets 6–1).
🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic (#103, righty)
- 2025: 28–36 | Hard 15–19 | Indoors 3–3.
- ✅ Qualified here, then beat Atmane 6–3, 6–4 to reach R2.
- ✅ Back flirting with top-100 again after patchy mid-season.
- ❌ 0–5 career vs top-5 opponents (only one set won).
- 🏛️ Paris: maiden main-draw appearance.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Paris’ slower indoor surface softens Fritz’s serve-forehand combo just enough to demand more patience — but his baseline weight and backhand line remain weapons. Expect him to look for early forehand positioning off neutral returns to stay in command.
For Vukic, the serve-plus-one pattern is key. He’ll need a high first-serve percentage and disciplined aggression down the middle to avoid being pulled wide by Fritz’s pace. Break chances will be rare; holding serve efficiently and sneaking into tiebreaks is his only real path.
The 3–0 H2H record tells the story — Vukic can match power but struggles to sustain pressure over long sets. Fritz’s cleaner transitions and ability to finish at net should prove decisive again.
🔮 Prediction
Fritz should stabilize here with intent and rhythm, using this as a tune-up before Turin. Expect a composed, businesslike effort — maybe a tight first set before the gap widens as Vukic fades under scoreboard weight.
Pick: Taylor Fritz in straight sets (one tiebreak likely).
Fritz’s serve holds and backhand precision should carry the day, restoring some confidence ahead of the Finals push.
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