ATP Paris — Corentin Moutet vs Reilly Opelka
🧠 Form & Context
🇫🇷 Corentin Moutet (#32, lefty; 175 cm)
2025: 40–27 | Hard 15–12 | Indoors 6–2 📈
✅ Indoor swing surge: Almaty finalist, Vienna QF (d. Medvedev in R16).
✅ Masters 1R on hard in 2025: 4–1 (very nearly 5–0; let Tien match slip in Shanghai).
🏠 Home boost: R16 here in 2022; thrives with Paris crowd.
⚠️ Workload watch after back-to-back deep runs.
🇺🇸 Reilly Opelka (#52, righty; 211 cm)
2025: 33–26 | Hard 14–11 | Indoors 7–4 📈
✅ Basel reboot: four wins from qualies to QF; serve clicking again.
🔁 Lucky loser this week after withdrawing from final qualifying match, then drawn into MD.
⚠️ H2H edge 2–1 over Moutet, incl. 2 TBs in Aix (May).
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🏷️ Labels: ATP Paris, Corentin Moutet, Reilly Opelka, Tennis Betting Preview, Paris Masters 2025
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