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Alcaraz vs Norrie — Paris R2 Preview
🧠 Form & Context
🇪🇸 Carlos Alcaraz (#1, righty)
- 2025: Hard 28–4 | Indoors 7–2.
- ✅ 18-match win streak coming in, capped by Tokyo title (only exhibition loss to Sinner).
- ✅ Paris surface slower than last year — a plus for his rally control style.
- ✅ Leads H2H 5–2, including straight-sets Wimbledon QF win in 2025.
- ❌ Indoors remains his “least dominant” setting, though still elite level.
🇬🇧 Cameron Norrie (#31, lefty)
- 2025: Hard 11–15 | Indoors 11–15.
- ✅ Beat Báez 6–3, 6–4 in R1 with confident serving.
- ✅ Has two prior wins over Alcaraz (Cincinnati 2022, Rio 2023).
- ❌ 6–17 career vs Top-5; uneven overall form in 2025.
🔍 Match Breakdown
The court speed is the biggest storyline. Slower indoor conditions minimize Alcaraz’s occasional timing lapses and accentuate his defensive elasticity. Expect long exchanges, with Norrie’s looping lefty forehand trying to pin Alcaraz’s backhand corner — a tactic that works early but often gets flipped once Carlos finds the counter-angle down the line.
On serve, Norrie must stay above 70% first serves to survive baseline pressure. Alcaraz’s ROS on this slower surface creates constant scoreboard squeeze, forcing the Brit to take more forehand risks than usual. Once rallies stretch, Alcaraz’s superior acceleration and creativity usually take over.
Expect Norrie to hang early, but if he falls behind a break, Alcaraz’s front-running instincts and improved composure will seal it quickly.
🔮 Prediction
Norrie’s lefty patterns and discipline can keep things close for a while, but Alcaraz’s all-court toolkit, defensive reach, and return aggression fit perfectly with Paris’ slower bounce. The world No.1 should dictate tempo and pull away once rallies extend.
Pick: Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.
Expect a competitive opener before Alcaraz raises the baseline pace to close in two (7–5, 6–3 type scoreline).
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