Auger-Aliassime vs Comesana

🎾 Paris Masters Breakdown & Betting Angles
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Auger-Aliassime vs Comesana — Paris R1 Preview

ATP Paris Indoor Hard Round 1

🧠 Form & Context

🇨🇦 Felix Auger-Aliassime (#10, righty; 193 cm)

• 📈 2025: 45–23 | Indoors 12–3 | Hard 25–10.
• ✅ Three titles this season (Montpellier, Adelaide, Brussels); US Open SF run highlights elite form indoors and on hard.
• ❗ Retired in Basel QF last week — mild fitness concern entering Paris.
• 🏛️ Paris record: SF (2022); 2R (2023, 2021); 1R (2020).

🇦🇷 Francisco Comesana (#68, righty)

• 2025: 31–28 | Indoors 3–2 | Hard 9–9.
• ✅ Qualified impressively here (d. Van Assche, Goffin); strong Cincinnati R16 run earlier in the season.
• ❌ Indoors experience still light; often struggles to handle top-10 pace and weight of shot.
• 🏛️ Paris debut.

🔍 Match Breakdown

The Bercy conditions — quick but not lightning-fast — reward early-strike aggression and serve dominance. Auger-Aliassime checks both boxes, wielding one of the tour’s most reliable indoor serve-forehand combos. His tiebreak consistency and controlled aggression indoors remain a core edge.

Comesana, a grinder with good timing, thrives when rallies stretch. His goal will be to expose FAA’s backhand and test movement in prolonged exchanges. However, breaking the Canadian’s rhythm indoors is a steep task without consistent depth and pace matching.

The wildcard remains FAA’s Basel retirement — if physical issues linger, Comesana could exploit it with counter-punch consistency. Still, the gulf in ceiling and surface fit points toward a straightforward outcome.

🔮 Prediction

Auger-Aliassime should control from the front behind his serve and forehand, keeping points short and scoreboard pressure constant. Comesana’s qualifying rhythm might make for a tight opener, but FAA’s firepower should pull away as rallies shorten.

Pick: Felix Auger-Aliassime in straight sets.
Expect a competitive first set (tiebreak possible) before the Canadian separates in the second.