Second-round previews from the Taranto Challenger (hard), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Felix Gill vs Buvaysar Gadamauri
🧠 Form & Context
Felix Gill
- 📊 Ranked No. 228 at 24, 6–4 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Strong behind both serves: 67.1% on the first and 52.0% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 60.7% of break points and converts 44.5%.
- 🏆 Leads the head-to-head 3–0, and has won 70% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Has won only 44% of his recent matches, and converted 36% of break points in recent matches.
Buvaysar Gadamauri
- 📉 Ranked No. 266 at 26, 3–7 in his last 10 but winning 59% of recent matches.
- 🎯 Lands 63.9% of first serves and wins 66.3% behind his first serve.
- 🔁 Level with Gill against the first serve: 34.9%.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of his career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Has won only 45% of deciding sets this season, and has lost all three meetings with Gill.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their fourth meeting. Gill, a left-hander, leads 3–0 and won the most recent in a final set at the San Gregorio di Catania Challenger in October. He is the 1.66 favourite.
On serve there is very little between them. Gill wins slightly more behind both serves (67.1% vs 66.3% and 52.0% vs 51.2%) and saves slightly more break points (60.7% vs 59.7%). Gadamauri lands slightly more first serves.
On return they are level against the first serve (34.6% vs 34.9%), while Gill is better against the second (52.9% vs 50.9%) and converts more break points (44.5% vs 42.8%).
Gill has the better last 10 (6–4 vs 3–7), but Gadamauri has won more of his recent matches (59% vs 44%). Gill has won far more deciding sets this season (70% vs 45%).
Gill's slight edges across the board and the head-to-head explain the price. Expect plenty of holds.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Gill | Gadamauri |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 228 | 266 |
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 3–7 |
| Head-to-head | 3 | 0 |
| First serves in | 63.0% | 63.9% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.1% | 66.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 52.0% | 51.2% |
| Break points saved | 60.7% | 59.7% |
| Break points converted | 44.5% | 42.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 58% | 57% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 55% | 50% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 64% | 60% |
Adrian Andreev vs Matteo Martineau
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Jay Clarke vs Gianluca Cadenasso
🧠 Form & Context
Jay Clarke
- 📊 Ranked No. 241 at 28, 5–5 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Stronger behind both serves: 68.2% on the first and 50.9% on the second.
- 🔒 Saves 58.3% of break points, and 62% in recent matches.
- 🏆 Won their only meeting.
- ⚠️ Lands only 58.2% of first serves, and has won 38% of deciding sets this season.
Gianluca Cadenasso
- 📈 Ranked No. 215 at 22, 7–3 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The better returner: 38.1% against the first serve and 54.6% against the second.
- 🎯 Converts 47.0% of his break points.
- 🏆 Has won 68% of deciding sets this season, 69% over his career, and 61% of his career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Saves only 54.3% of break points.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their second meeting. Clarke won the first from a set down at an ITF event in Hammamet in 2024. He is the 1.80 favourite, with Cadenasso at 1.90.
Clarke is the stronger server. He wins 68.2% behind his first serve to 64.8%, 50.9% behind his second to 49.4%, and saves far more break points (58.3% vs 54.3%). Cadenasso lands more first serves (61.4% vs 58.2%).
Cadenasso is the better returner, with 38.1% vs 34.5% against the first serve and 54.6% vs 52.1% against the second, and converts more break points (47.0% vs 44.5%).
The form is with Cadenasso: 7–3 in his last 10 against 5–5, and 55% vs 51% of recent matches won. He also has the far better record in deciding sets (68% vs 38% this season).
Close on price and close on the numbers. Clarke has the serve, and Cadenasso the return game and the form.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Clarke | Cadenasso |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 241 | 215 |
| Age | 28 | 22 |
| Last 10 | 5–5 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 0 |
| First serves in | 58.2% | 61.4% |
| 1st-serve points won | 68.2% | 64.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.9% | 49.4% |
| Break points saved | 58.3% | 54.3% |
| Break points converted | 44.5% | 47.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 44% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 61% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 53% | 69% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 65% |
Maxim Mrva vs Thomas Faurel
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
Sumit Nagal vs Hugo Grenier
🧠 Form & Context
Sumit Nagal
- 📉 Ranked No. 265 at 29, 3–7 in his last 10.
- 🎯 Lands 68.0% of first serves and wins 50.5% behind his second.
- 🔁 The better returner: 35.4% against the first serve and 54.3% against the second.
- 🏆 Has won 56% of his career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Has won only 43% of deciding sets this season, and saves 56.7% of break points.
Hugo Grenier
- 📊 Ranked No. 394 at 30, 5–5 in his last 10.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 71.1% of points won, and 70% in recent matches.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 64% of deciding sets this season.
- ⚠️ Weak on return (31.8% against the first serve), and has won only 35% of his recent matches.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Their third meeting, level at 1–1. Grenier won the most recent indoors in Pau in 2020. The two are priced level at 1.83.
Grenier has the bigger first serve (71.1% vs 64.1%) and saves more break points (60.5% vs 56.7%). Nagal lands more first serves (68.0% vs 63.8%) and is stronger behind the second (50.5% vs 47.4%).
Nagal is the better returner, with 35.4% vs 31.8% against the first serve and 54.3% vs 50.7% against the second, and converts more break points (43.7% vs 41.0%).
Grenier has the better last 10 (5–5 vs 3–7), but Nagal has won more of his recent matches (50% vs 35%). Grenier has won more deciding sets this season (64% vs 43%).
A level contest between Grenier's first serve and Nagal's return game.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Nagal | Grenier |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 265 | 394 |
| Age | 29 | 30 |
| Last 10 | 3–7 | 5–5 |
| Head-to-head | 1 | 1 |
| First serves in | 68.0% | 63.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 64.1% | 71.1% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.5% | 47.4% |
| Break points saved | 56.7% | 60.5% |
| Break points converted | 43.7% | 41.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 51% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 48% | 52% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 57% |
Philip Henning vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
🧠 Form & Context
Philip Henning
- 📈 Ranked No. 236 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10 and winning 66% of recent matches.
- 🚀 Excellent behind his second serve: 55.6% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 62.9% of break points, and 66% in recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 35.1% against the first serve and 56.0% against the second.
- 🏆 Has won 74% of best-of-three matches over his career.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
- 📊 Ranked No. 306 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Wins 70.3% behind his first serve, and 75% in recent matches.
- 🎯 Strong behind his second serve: 53.4%.
- 🔒 Saves 59.4% of break points.
- ⚠️ Has won only 29% of deciding sets this season and 37% over his career.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. The two are priced level at 1.83.
Both are strong servers. They are level behind the first serve (70.3%), while Henning lands more first serves (65.6% vs 61.8%), wins more behind his second (55.6% vs 53.4%) and saves more break points (62.9% vs 59.4%).
Henning is also the better returner, with 35.1% vs 31.8% against the first serve and 56.0% vs 50.6% against the second, and converts more break points (46.0% vs 43.1%).
Both are 6–4 in their last 10, but Henning has won more of his recent matches (66% vs 59%) and has the far better records in deciding sets and tiebreaks.
Henning leads on almost every line, which makes the level price interesting.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Henning | Caniato |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 236 | 306 |
| Age | 25 | 21 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 65.6% | 61.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 70.3% | 70.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 55.6% | 53.4% |
| Break points saved | 62.9% | 59.4% |
| Break points converted | 46.0% | 43.1% |
| Return points won (career) | 43% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 56% | 44% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 56% | 37% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 74% | 55% |
Francesco Maestrelli vs Peter Makk
🧠 Form & Context
Francesco Maestrelli
- 📉 Ranked No. 176 at 23, 4–6 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Slightly the bigger first serve: 69.6% of points won.
- 🔒 Saves 59.5% of break points, and 66% in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 55% of his career tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Has won only 33% of his recent matches, and is weak behind his second serve (46.4%).
Peter Makk
- 🔥 Ranked No. 537 at 25, 7–3 in his last 10 and winning 68% of recent matches.
- 🔁 The better returner: 34.3% against the first serve and 51.6% against the second.
- 🚀 Stronger behind his second serve: 49.3%, and 51% in recent matches.
- 🏆 Has won 57% of deciding sets and 59% of best-of-three matches over his career.
- ⚠️ Has won only 39% of his career tiebreaks.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Maestrelli is the 1.33 favourite. Makk comes in after beating Romano in the first round.
On serve they are close. Maestrelli wins slightly more behind his first serve (69.6% vs 68.9%) and saves slightly more break points (59.5% vs 58.3%). Makk lands more first serves (62.9% vs 61.5%) and is far stronger behind the second (49.3% vs 46.4%).
Makk is the better returner, with 34.3% vs 33.6% against the first serve and 51.6% vs 49.8% against the second, and converts more break points (43.8% vs 42.6%).
The form is firmly with Makk: 7–3 in his last 10 against 4–6, and 68% vs 33% of recent matches won.
Maestrelli's ranking explains the price. Makk's form and return game make this much closer than 1.33.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Maestrelli | Makk |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 176 | 537 |
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 61.5% | 62.9% |
| 1st-serve points won | 69.6% | 68.9% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 46.4% | 49.3% |
| Break points saved | 59.5% | 58.3% |
| Break points converted | 42.6% | 43.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 40% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 55% | 39% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 55% | 57% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 53% | 59% |
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