Ugo Blanchet vs Tomas Machac

🎾 Daily Card, Live-Bet Triggers & Bankroll Builders
Get the full slate and in-play cues on Patreon — early angles + closing-line tracking.

Blanchet vs Machac — US Open 3R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 3

🧠 Form & Context

Ugo Blanchet (No. 184, age 26, qualifier)

• 🇫🇷 Surprise package in New York.
• 📊 2025: 26–22 overall, 11–6 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 2025: Qualified, beat Marozsán & edged Mensik in 5 sets.
• 🏟️ Slam record: First-ever Slam MD wins; never past R1 before this run.
• 📈 Breakthrough: Already at career-best Slam, pushing toward top-150.
• 💡 Strengths: Resilient baseline play, strong stamina, thrives in long battles.

Tomas Machac (No. 22, age 24)

• 🇨🇿 In-form despite durability concerns.
• 📊 2025: 21–14 overall, 13–6 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 2025: Def. Nardi & Fonseca in straights, kept matches short.
• 🏟️ Slam record: R16 at USO 2024 (career-best). Retired at RG 2025; lost 5-setter at Wimbledon.
• ⚠️ Concern: 5 retirements in 2025 — physical reliability a constant watchpoint.
• 💡 Strengths: Compact, aggressive baseline game, excellent timing, dictating tempo when healthy.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Head-to-head: First meeting.

Blanchet will attempt to extend exchanges and drag Machac into a stamina test. Machac will counter by shortening points with aggressive first-strike tennis, avoiding Blanchet’s comfort zone of drawn-out rallies.

Context: Blanchet is in new Slam territory, while Machac has already gone deep here. If fitness holds, Machac should command the baseline with cleaner shot-making.

🔮 Prediction

Blanchet’s Cinderella run makes him dangerous if this drags on, but Machac’s superior shot-making and proven experience at this stage give him the edge. Only a physical lapse flips the balance.

Pick: Machac in 3 sets — Blanchet will fight and keep sets close, but Machac’s control and tempo should prevail unless durability betrays him.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Blanchet thriving in marathon grinders; Machac efficient and sharp.
• Surface fit: Both solid on hard, but Machac’s pace more penetrating.
• Experience: Blanchet first Slam R3; Machac already proven in USO R16.
• Key angle: Blanchet’s stamina vs Machac’s durability — who bends first?
• Edge: Machac — cleaner game, higher ceiling if physically intact.