Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarino

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Shelton vs Mannarino — US Open 3R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 3

🧠 Form & Context

Ben Shelton (No. 6, age 22)

• 🇺🇸 Explosive lefty, one of the fastest-rising stars on tour.
• 📊 2025: 37–18 overall, 23–7 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 2025: Straight-sets wins over Buse & Carreño Busta.
• 🏆 Summer: Toronto Masters champion (d. Khachanov in F), Cincinnati QF (l. Zverev).
• 🏟️ US Open: SF in 2023, 3R in 2024. Already 6 Slam second-week runs in 12 appearances.
• 💡 Strengths: Huge serve, fearless aggression, thrives with home crowd behind him.

Adrian Mannarino (No. 77, age 37)

• 🇫🇷 Crafty veteran lefty with a flat, unorthodox style.
• 📊 2025: 30–30 overall, 11–12 on hard.
• 🔥 USO 2025: Def. Griekspoor in straights & Thompson in 4 sets.
• 📈 Revival: 9–3 on North American hard this summer after a brutal slump earlier.
• 🏟️ Slam career: 60th Slam MD, just 5 second-week appearances (5–8 in R3).
• ⚠️ Weakness: Struggles when opponents hit through him — exactly what Shelton did in Toronto.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Head-to-head: Mannarino leads 2–1, but Shelton won their latest in Toronto 2025 (6–2, 6–3).

Shelton will lean on serve + forehand to shorten rallies, denying Mannarino rhythm. Mannarino’s flat redirection thrives in extended exchanges, so Shelton must stay patient when rallies stretch.

Home advantage plays big: Shelton’s energy surges under New York lights, while Mannarino’s calm, understated style may not dampen the crowd.

🔮 Prediction

Mannarino’s guile could create resistance, but Shelton’s firepower and confidence tilt this heavily in the American’s favor. Given his dominant Toronto win over Mannarino just weeks ago, the script feels likely to repeat.

Pick: Shelton in 3 sets — Mannarino will have moments, but Shelton’s athleticism and serve should overwhelm him.

📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)

• Form trend: Shelton surging on hard; Mannarino reviving but still vulnerable.
• Serve edge: Huge to Shelton — lefty bomb sets the tone.
• Baseline control: Shelton’s raw power vs Mannarino’s redirection skills.
• Experience: Mannarino’s 60th Slam vs Shelton’s youthful fire — both matter in different ways.
• Edge: Shelton — confidence, weapons, and crowd lift him higher.