Benjamin Bonzi vs Arthur Rinderknech

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Bonzi vs Rinderknech — US Open 3R Preview

ATP US Open Hard Court Round 3

🧠 Form & Context

Benjamin Bonzi (No. 51, age 29)

• 🇫🇷 Finally showing resilience on the biggest stage.
• 📊 2025 record: 20–20 (14–10 on hard).
• 🔥 USO 2025: Def. Medvedev in R1 (5 sets) and rallied from 0–2 down vs Giron in R2 — 7+ hours on court already.
• 🏟️ Slam history: 3x R3 appearances (never beyond). Losses to de Minaur (2023 AO) and Lehecka (2025 AO).
• 💡 Confidence watch: Two marathon wins might erase nerves, but fatigue is real.

Arthur Rinderknech (No. 82, age 30)

• 🇫🇷 Big-serving Frenchman finding form at the right time.
• 📊 2025 record: 21–28 (5–11 on hard).
• 🔥 USO 2025: Beat Carballés Baena in 4 sets, edged Fokina in 5.
• 🏟️ Slam record: 3R Wimbledon 2025 (lost to Majchrzak), 3R USO 2023 (lost to Rublev). Still 0–2 in R3 matches.
• 📈 Upside: Beat Ruud in Cincinnati; confidence rising despite tough season.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Head-to-Head: Bonzi leads 3–1 (last met Stuttgart 2022, Bonzi won in straights).

Both share similar weaknesses — nerves and closing issues. Bonzi has logged exhausting court time, while Rinderknech has leaned on his serve to get through.

Keys:
• Bonzi: extend rallies, test Rinderknech’s patience.
• Rinderknech: serve big, shorten points, avoid five-set grind.
• Pressure moments: both have histories of blowing leads — composure could decide it.

🔮 Prediction

Expect a scrappy, nervy all-French clash with swings in momentum. Bonzi has the H2H and confidence from toppling Medvedev, but physical fatigue tilts the balance.

Pick: Rinderknech in 4 sets — fresher legs and the serve edge give him a narrow margin. But another five-set drama wouldn’t surprise.