Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

ATP Paris — Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca

🧠 Form & Context

🇷🇺 Karen Khachanov (#14, 198 cm, righty)
2025: 33–23 | Hard 13–11 | Indoors 1–3
✅ Paris R1: cruised past Ethan Quinn 6–1, 6–1.
🏟️ Paris pedigree: Champion (2018), SF 2024, QF 2023 — consistently good here.
📉 Mixed recent stretch overall (no back-to-back wins since Cincinnati), but venue comfort matters.

🇧🇷 Joao Fonseca (#28, 185 cm, righty)
2025: 39–16 | Hard 20–6 | Indoors 7–1
✅ Basel ATP 500 champion last week; ✅ Paris R1: d. Shapovalov 5–7, 6–4, 6–3.
🔁 First full tour season; composure improving with each big-stage test.
🧱 Watch the tank: heavy schedule (Basel title run + three-setter on Tuesday) raises fatigue risk.

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🏷️ Labels: ATP Paris, Karen Khachanov, Joao Fonseca, Paris Masters 2025, Tennis Betting Preview