Francisco Cerúndolo vs Miomir Kecmanović

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ATP Paris — Francisco Cerúndolo vs Miomir Kecmanović

ATP Paris Indoor Hard Round of 32

🧠 Form & Context

🇦🇷 Francisco Cerúndolo (#21, righty; 185 cm)

• 2025: 37–23 | Hard: 12–8 | Indoors: 3–2
• ✅ Paris R1: d. Džumhur 6–3, 6–3 (now 8–0 in Masters R1 matches this season)
• 🏆 17 Masters wins in 2025 — trailing only Alcaraz & Musetti.
• 📍 Reached R16 in Paris 2023 & 2024; has notable 2R wins over Ruud and Rublev here.
• ↕️ Form dip post-summer but remains consistent on big stages.

🇷🇸 Miomir Kecmanović (#53, righty; 183 cm)

• 2025: 26–28 | Hard: 16–14 | Indoors: 2–3
• ✅ Paris R1: d. Kovacevic 6–4, 1–6, 7–6(2)
• ⚠️ Lifetime Masters R2 record: 6–15; currently on a four-match losing streak at this stage.
• 🏆 2025 title in Delray Beach, but season consistency remains uneven.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Cerúndolo’s forehand-heavy baseline patterns give him a distinct edge on medium-speed indoor courts, especially against opponents who prefer rhythm like Kecmanović. The Argentine’s ability to change pace and direction off the forehand wing often breaks rally patterns and opens the court early.

Kecmanović is capable of matching rally quality when locked in, but his big-point composure has lagged all season. Cerúndolo’s comfort under Masters-level pressure — combined with tactical discipline — allows him to navigate those tight mid-set moments more effectively. On serve-return exchanges, Cerúndolo’s deeper return positioning and cleaner first-strike forehand make the difference.

H2H sits at 2–0 Cerúndolo (both on clay in 2022), but the same tactical principle applies indoors: push Miomir wide on the backhand, then finish to the open forehand court. If Kecmanović lands over 65% first serves, he can push this close, but sustained execution over two sets remains his biggest challenge.

🔮 Prediction

Expect momentum shifts — Kecmanović often starts sharp before fading mid-set — but Cerúndolo’s consistency and proven Masters-level ceiling should carry him through. A tiebreak or tight finish is likely, yet the Argentine’s rally patience and forehand depth should decide it.

Pick: Francisco Cerúndolo in straight sets. Likely scoreline: 7–6, 6–4. Expect one swing set but Cerúndolo’s big-match reliability to hold firm.