Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller

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ATP Paris — Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexandre Muller

ATP Paris Indoor Hard Round of 32

🧠 Form & Context

🇨🇦 Félix Auger-Aliassime (#10, righty; 193 cm)

• 2025: 46–23 | Hard: 25–10 | Indoors: 13–3
• ✅ Paris R1: d. Comesana 6–7, 6–3, 6–3 (strong recovery after Basel retirement)
• 🔥 Five straight QF+ runs since the US Open; titles in Montpellier and Brussels.
• 🎯 Race to Turin: up to No. 9, chasing the final ATP Finals spot.

🇫🇷 Alexandre Muller (#44, righty; 183 cm)

• 2025: 24–27 | Hard: 12–12 | Indoors: 1–2
• ✅ Paris R1: d. Nakashima 6–2, 7–5 — first main-draw win at home Masters event.
• 📉 Form cooled after a hot spring; hasn’t posted back-to-back wins since May (Hamburg).
• 🏠 Home support could lift intensity, though indoor results remain inconsistent.

🔍 Match Breakdown

On this fast Bercy surface, Auger-Aliassime’s serve + first-strike combination gives him a clear edge. His 13–3 indoor record and late-season surge have been built on steady hold rates, improved rally patience, and confidence in short-point execution. Basel’s brief injury scare appears behind him after a composed comeback in R1.

Muller brings a compact baseline game and strong backhand redirection, but his ability to apply sustained pressure against Félix’s serve remains limited. To stay competitive, he’ll need to extend rallies to the backhand side, attack second serves, and feed off the Paris crowd to disrupt rhythm — especially early in each set.

If Félix starts sharp behind serve, Muller's recent struggles stringing wins could reappear. Expect the Frenchman to hold serve through patches but face scoreboard strain once rallies shorten and pace rises.

🔮 Prediction

Auger-Aliassime’s indoor momentum and confidence outweigh the Basel uncertainty. Muller’s home energy and clean hitting can make sets competitive, but Félix’s serve-forehand patterns and superior execution in tight moments should carry him through.

Pick: Félix Auger-Aliassime in two tight sets — likely around 7–6, 6–4. Upset window opens only if Félix’s physical level dips or Muller forces extended return games with the crowd behind him.