Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Linette vs Sevastova

🎾 Linette vs Sevastova – Montreal R1 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

  • Magda Linette
    - Struggled historically in Montreal: Six of seven appearances ended in qualifying or R1.
    - Solid but unspectacular in 2025: 19–18 W–L, including QF runs in Strasbourg and Miami.
    - Beat Sevastova in their last H2H at the 2022 Australian Open (6–4, 7–5).
  • Anastasija Sevastova
    - Comeback arc: Returning from ACL injury during maternity comeback.
    - Surprised Tomljanovic in R1 for first top-100 win in over two months.
    - Quarterfinalist in Montreal back in 2018 and has a 2–1 career lead at the event.

🔍 Match Breakdown

  • Playing style: Linette relies on rally tolerance and baseline consistency. Sevastova mixes spins, slices, and off-pace balls to disrupt rhythm.
  • Fitness factor: Linette has been active all year, while Sevastova is rebuilding post-injury. Longer rallies favor Linette.
  • Momentum swings: Sevastova can snatch sets when she's in rhythm; Linette must manage dips in focus and maintain first-serve percentage.

🔮 Prediction

Linette’s steady game and hard-court mileage give her the edge here. Expect a battle, but the Pole should outlast Sevastova.
Predicted Score: Linette def. Sevastova 6–3, 4–6, 6–2.

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