Zarazua vs Ostapenko

🎾 Zarazua vs Ostapenko – WTA Montreal R2 Preview

🧠 Form & Context

• Renata Zarazua
  ✅ Scored a rare main-draw win in R1, defeating Katie Boulter in straight sets and saving set points in the second.
  📉 Lacks momentum: Just her second tour-level win since Australia; no back-to-back wins at any level since April’s W100 Madrid.
  🆚 Top-30 record: 1–11 lifetime, with her only win coming at the 2024 US Open vs Garcia.
  🎾 Game style: Crafty and aggressive at times, but vulnerable to power hitters.
• Jelena Ostapenko
  📉 Montreal woes: 0–4 lifetime in Montreal main draws, despite stronger Toronto results.
  🏆 Title in Stuttgart: Her best 2025 moment came on clay in April.
  😵 Hard-court struggles: Just 6–8 on the surface this year; five of those wins came during her runner-up run in Doha.
  🎢 Volatile form: Still dangerous, but error-prone and emotionally inconsistent.

🔍 Match Breakdown

Ostapenko’s raw power should dictate this matchup from the baseline. Zarazua may try to extend points and play with variety, but she likely lacks the weapons to consistently trouble the Latvian if rallies become physical.

Still, Ostapenko hasn’t been sharp outside of Doha this season, and her Montreal history is poor. If Zarazua can stay steady and force long rallies, she might capitalize on a dip in concentration or rhythm.

But ultimately, this is on Ostapenko’s racket. If she plays at 75% of her peak, it should be enough.

🔮 Prediction

It may get messy at times, but Ostapenko has too many tools and should finally get her first win in Montreal—unless she unravels early.
Predicted Score: Ostapenko def. Zarazua 6–4, 6–3