PBTennis · Tennis Form Snapshot · Day 167
Tuesday Form Radar: six favourites the board has flagged before
Today's board has 19 wrong-side alerts, and six of those favourites have already been flagged as the lower-rated player in recent days. The biggest gap is at tour level: a 77-rated qualifier priced at 2.50 against a 45.
101 open matches | 11 tournaments | 19 wrong-side alerts | 6 repeat lower-rated favourites |
Yesterday's board, checked
Every signal is checked against the next day's draw, and the bad days get published too.
Two crisis-tier favourites lost, including a 1.20 favourite rated 30. The 4.33 underdog who beat him is still in the draw.
The hard part: the four resolved wrong-side alerts all lost. Three more were relisted and are still pending, and most first-round results are not yet visible.
| D166 signal | Held |
|---|---|
| Crisis-tier favourites (favourite lost) | 2 / 3 |
| Form-backed favourites | 4 / 6 |
| Level form at short prices | 2 / 3 |
| Wrong-side alerts | 0 / 4 |
Tour matches: one form read open
The prices are public. Our 52-week form read on each match is on the members' board.
| Match | Odds | Form read |
|---|---|---|
| Paris · Shelton vs Norrie | 1.30 / 3.50 | Form agrees with the market |
| Paris · Fritz vs Bonzi | 1.29 / 3.60 | 🔒 members |
| Paris · Jodar vs Ruud | 1.57 / 2.38 | 🔒 members |
| Paris · Djokovic vs Vacherot | 1.36 / 3.10 | 🔒 members |
| Paris · Paul vs Rune | 1.40 / 3.00 | 🔒 members |
| Paris · Lehecka vs Michelsen | 1.50 / 2.60 | 🔒 members |
| Paris · Tien vs Tsitsipas | 1.73 / 2.10 | 🔒 members |
| Hong Kong · Samsonova vs Shubladze | 1.53 / 2.50 | 🔒 members |
| Hong Kong · Yastremska vs Sonmez | 1.80 / 2.00 | 🔒 members |
| Hong Kong · Badosa vs Pridankina | 1.14 / 5.50 | 🔒 members |
| Hong Kong · Joint vs Inglis | 1.25 / 4.00 | 🔒 members |
| Chennai · Stefanini vs Zolotareva | 1.57 / 2.38 | 🔒 members |
Three of these 11 locked matches are wrong-side alerts, and two more have the underdog slightly ahead on form.
Today's 19 wrong-side alerts
In each of these, the market's favourite is the player in worse form.
| Event | Match | Gap |
|---|---|---|
| Hong Kong WTA | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 32 |
| Taranto Challenger (qualifying, relisted) | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 32 |
| Taranto Challenger (qualifying) | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 26 |
| Luanda WTA 125 | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 23 |
| Charlottesville Challenger | 🔒 █████ vs █████ | 19 |
| + 14 more alerts on the members' board | ||
Repeat customers. One Challenger favourite is priced above a better-form opponent for the fourth time in 12 days; he lost two of the first three. Another is a lower-rated favourite for the third straight match, at 1.29. The board names all six.
37 boards in
| Signal (D130–D166) | Resolved | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Level form at short prices (favourite wins) | 222 | 73% |
| Form-backed favourites (favourite wins) | 606 | 73% |
| Sub-threshold underdogs (underdog advances) | 263 | 40% |
| Wrong-side alerts (underdog advances) | 344 | 37% |
Outcomes come from draw progression. These are small samples and not a betting performance record.
Unlock the full Day 167 board
All 101 matches with form tiers, all 19 wrong-side alerts named, the six repeat favourites, form arcs, and the full Excel and DOCX snapshot.
Open on Patreon →Match-by-match analysis, model review and filtered selections are in the Elite membership.
#Tennis #TennisBetting #ATP #WTA #ATPChallenger #WTA125 #TennisForm #RolexParisMasters #ParisMasters #HongKongOpen #ChennaiOpen #Djokovic #Fritz #Shelton #Badosa #PBTennis
18+ only. Form ratings are an information tool, not betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
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