Final preview from the Lisbon Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Alexander Ritschard vs Svyatoslav Gulin
🧠 Form & Context
Alexander Ritschard
- 🔥 Ranked No. 483 at 32, 9–1 in his last 10 and winning 85% of recent matches.
- ✅ Beat Brancaccio, Nagal and Trungelliti to reach the final – his first win over Trungelliti in four meetings.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 69.8% won, 74% recently.
- 🔒 Saves 60.5% of break points.
- 🏆 Has won 80% of deciding sets this season.
Svyatoslav Gulin
- 📈 Ranked No. 545 at 23, 7–3 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Schoen, Andrej Martin, Pellegrino and Moller to reach the final.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43% of return points won and 46% of break points converted.
- 🎾 Stronger on the second serve: 52.4% won.
- 📊 69% career record in best-of-three.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting in the final. Ritschard, on a 9–1 run, is the favourite at 1.27 – but the two are ranked only 62 places apart.
Ritschard has the bigger first serve (69.8% vs 66.3% won) and slightly better break-point defence.
Gulin is the better returner – 43% of return points against 41%, and 46% of break points converted against 41.4% – and is stronger on the second serve.
Gulin has the better career tight-set numbers (58% of deciding sets, 69% in best-of-three), while Ritschard has won 80% of his deciders this season.
Ritschard has the form and the first serve; Gulin has the return and the career numbers. Closer than 1.27 suggests.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Ritschard | Gulin |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 483 | 545 |
| Age | 32 | 23 |
| Last 10 | 9–1 | 7–3 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 59.1% | 61.2% |
| 1st-serve points won | 69.8% | 66.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.0% | 52.4% |
| Break points saved | 60.5% | 58.8% |
| Break points converted | 41.4% | 46.0% |
| Return points won (career) | 41% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 53% | 54% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 54% | 58% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 60% | 69% |
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