Final preview from the Cali Challenger on clay, with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every match. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Valerio Aboian
🧠 Form & Context
Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- 📈 Ranked No. 240 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Pereira, Jarry, La Serna and Heide to reach the final.
- ⚔️ Leads the head-to-head 2–1, with straight-set wins in their last two meetings.
- 🎾 The more reliable server: 65.2% of first serves in, 66.3% won, 51.5% on second.
- ⚠️ Only 43% of deciding sets won over his career.
Valerio Aboian
- 📊 Ranked No. 340 at 24, left-handed, 6–4 in his last 10.
- ✅ Beat Mena, Tobon and Meligeni Alves on his way to the final.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43% of return points won and 45.8% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 61% of deciding sets over his career and 66% this season.
- ⚠️ Lands only 60.9% of first serves.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A fourth meeting. Pucinelli de Almeida leads 2–1 and has won the last two without dropping a set, most recently 6–3 6–2 in Santos in May. He is a heavy favourite at 1.18.
Pucinelli de Almeida is the more reliable server – more first serves in (65.2% vs 60.9%), stronger on the second serve and slightly better on break-point defence.
Aboian is the better returner on career numbers (43% vs 42% of return points), and both convert around 45% of their break chances.
Aboian has much the better deciding-set record – 61% over his career against 43%, and 66% this season against 50%.
Pucinelli de Almeida has the serve, the form and the head-to-head; Aboian has the clutch numbers. 1.18 looks short for a final this close on paper.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Pucinelli de Almeida | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 240 | 340 |
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 2 | 1 |
| First serves in | 65.2% | 60.9% |
| 1st-serve points won | 66.3% | 65.3% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.5% | 49.0% |
| Break points saved | 58.6% | 58.1% |
| Break points converted | 45.4% | 45.8% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 48% | 50% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 43% | 61% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 61% | 61% |
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