First-round previews from the Guayaquil Challenger (clay), with form, serve and return numbers and a full Tale of the Tape for every open match. Matches marked 🔒 are on today's PBTennis Patreon card. Times are as listed by the tournament schedule and may move with the order of play.
Carlos Maria Zarate vs Alan Magadan
🧠 Form & Context
Carlos Maria Zarate
- 🔥 Ranked No. 340 at 21, 6–4 in his last 10, fresh from a quarter-final run in Cali.
- 🔁 The better returner: 42% of return points won and 43.9% of break points converted.
- 🏆 Has won 62% of deciding sets over his career and 65% this season.
- 📏 Limited data on him at this level.
- ⚠️ Lands only 57.3% of first serves.
Alan Magadan
- 📊 Ranked No. 501 at 25, 6–4 in his last 10.
- 🚀 Wins 69.4% behind his first serve.
- 🏆 Wins 63% of tiebreaks.
- 📏 Limited data on him at this level.
- ⚠️ Has won only 38% of deciding sets over his career.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Zarate, who knocked out the third seed Comesana in Cali last week, is the favourite at 1.42.
Magadan wins more behind both serves (69.4% vs 67.3% on first, 49.6% vs 48.7% on second), but the gaps are small.
Zarate is the clearly better returner – 42% vs 39% of return points – and converts far more of his break chances (43.9% vs 39.9%).
Magadan has the much better tiebreak record (63% vs 50%), but Zarate wins far more deciding sets (62% vs 38%).
Zarate has the return, the form and the third-set record. Magadan's serve and tiebreaks keep him in it.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Zarate | Magadan |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 340 | 501 |
| Age | 21 | 25 |
| Last 10 | 6–4 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 57.3% | 56.8% |
| 1st-serve points won | 67.3% | 69.4% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 48.7% | 49.6% |
| Break points saved | 57.6% | 56.9% |
| Break points converted | 43.9% | 39.9% |
| Return points won (career) | 42% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | 50% | 63% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 62% | 38% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 59% | 51% |
Daniel Elahi Galan vs Mateo Del Pino
🧠 Form & Context
Daniel Elahi Galan
- 📊 Ranked No. 367 at 30, a former top-100 player, 4–6 in his last 10.
- 🚀 The far stronger server: 69.5% on first-serve points and 50.7% on second.
- 🔒 Saves 61.4% of break points.
- 🏆 Wins 54% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Weak on return: 39% of return points won.
Mateo Del Pino
- 📉 Currently unranked at 23, left-handed, 3–7 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The better returner: 43% of return points won, 37.9% against the first serve.
- 🏆 Has won 60% of deciding sets over his career.
- 📏 Very little data on him at this level.
- ⚠️ Weak on serve: 60.6% on first-serve points and only 44.4% on second.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Galan is an overwhelming favourite at 1.01 against the unranked Del Pino.
The serve gap is huge: 69.5% vs 60.6% on first-serve points and 50.7% vs 44.4% on second.
Del Pino is the better returner (43% vs 39% of return points), which is his only real route into the match.
Galan has the better tiebreak record (54% vs 48%); Del Pino has the better deciding-set numbers on a small sample.
Galan has the serve and the class. At 1.01, there is nothing to play for at the price.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Galan | Del Pino |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 367 | – |
| Age | 30 | 23 |
| Last 10 | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 62.3% | 62.3% |
| 1st-serve points won | 69.5% | 60.6% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.7% | 44.4% |
| Break points saved | 61.4% | 54.6% |
| Break points converted | 41.4% | 43.6% |
| Return points won (career) | 39% | 43% |
| Tiebreak win % | 54% | 48% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 50% | 60% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 55% | 57% |
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Miguel Tobon
🧠 Form & Context
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
- 📈 Ranked No. 332 at 21, 7–3 in his last 10.
- 🔁 An outstanding returner: 47% of return points won, 40.3% against the first serve.
- 🎯 Converts 50.3% of break points.
- 🎾 Lands 63.1% of first serves.
- 📏 Limited data on him at this level.
Miguel Tobon
- 📊 Ranked No. 444 at 20, 6–4 in his last 10, fresh from a quarter-final run in Cali.
- 🚀 The bigger first serve: 67% won.
- 🔒 Saves 58% of break points.
- 🏆 Wins 50% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Weak on return: 39% of return points won.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting between two 20-somethings on the rise. Aguilar Cardozo is the favourite at 1.54.
Tobon has the bigger first serve (67% vs 63.1% won) and saves more break points (58% vs 55.9%).
Aguilar Cardozo's return is the standout number: 47% of return points won against 39%, and half of his break chances converted.
Tobon beat Villanueva and Mejia in Cali last week before losing to Aboian in the quarter-finals.
Return against serve on clay. Aguilar Cardozo's return numbers are hard to ignore, but our data on him is limited.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Aguilar Cardozo | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 332 | 444 |
| Age | 21 | 20 |
| Last 10 | 7–3 | 6–4 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 63.1% | 59.0% |
| 1st-serve points won | 63.1% | 67.0% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| Break points saved | 55.9% | 58.0% |
| Break points converted | 50.3% | 44.5% |
| Return points won (career) | 47% | 39% |
| Tiebreak win % | – | 50% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | – | 43% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 44% | 46% |
Lorenzo Claverie vs Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
🧠 Form & Context
Lorenzo Claverie
- 📊 Ranked No. 865 at 24, 3–7 in his last 10.
- 🚀 A big first serve: 71.3% won, 77% recently.
- 🔒 Saves 62.5% of break points, 71% recently.
- 🏆 Wins 57% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Weak on return: 36% of return points won.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
- 🔥 Ranked No. 186 at 26, 8–2 in his last 10.
- 🔁 The better returner: 41% of return points won and 44.1% of break points converted.
- 🎾 Lands 63.7% of first serves.
- 🏆 Wins 56% of tiebreaks.
- ⚠️ Only 65.8% won behind his first serve.
🔍 Match Breakdown
A first meeting. Reis Da Silva, on an 8–2 run, is the favourite at 1.22.
Claverie has the bigger serve: 71.3% vs 65.8% on first-serve points, a stronger second serve and more break points saved.
Reis Da Silva is the far better returner – 41% vs 36% of return points – and converts many more of his break chances.
They are level on tiebreaks (57% vs 56%), with Reis Da Silva ahead in deciding sets (46% vs 39%).
Reis Da Silva has the form and the return; Claverie's serve gives him a chance in a match of holds.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Claverie | Reis Da Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Ranking | 865 | 186 |
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Last 10 | 3–7 | 8–2 |
| Head-to-head | 0 | 0 |
| First serves in | 60.3% | 63.7% |
| 1st-serve points won | 71.3% | 65.8% |
| 2nd-serve points won | 51.5% | 49.4% |
| Break points saved | 62.5% | 58.1% |
| Break points converted | 35.8% | 44.1% |
| Return points won (career) | 36% | 41% |
| Tiebreak win % | 57% | 56% |
| Deciding-set win % (career) | 39% | 46% |
| Best-of-3 win % | 51% | 55% |
Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Alejandro Hernandez
🔒 Members-only read
This match is on today's PBTennis Patreon card. The full breakdown – form, serve and return numbers, the Tale of the Tape and our read on the match – is available to our members.
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