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ATP Paris — Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmane
🧠 Form & Context
🇦🇺 Aleksandar Vukic (#103, righty, 188 cm)
- 2025: 27–36 | Hard: 15–19 | Indoors: 2–3 📉
- ✅ Tokyo QF last month; LL into Shanghai MD; Paris qual W/O from Opelka.
- 🔁 Masters R1 this season: 2–5. Paris MD debut.
🇫🇷 Terence Atmane (#69, lefty)
- 2025: 34–29 | Hard: 28–17 | Indoors: 1–4 📉
- 💥 Cincinnati SF (d. Fritz, Rune) built the ranking cushion.
- 🩼 Post-Cincy dips: USO withdrawal, retired in Shanghai, lopsided Vienna Q loss.
- 🏠 Paris MD debut; home crowd boost.
H2H: Atmane leads 1–0 (Acapulco 2024).
🔍 Match Breakdown
On paper this is tight. Vukic’s serve-first indoor pattern should hum if he keeps first serves north of his season norm and stays aggressive on +1 forehands. Atmane brings the higher ceiling and a lefty look that can jam the Vukic backhand return, but the recent fitness flags make scoreboard protection on second serve the stress point.
If rallies stretch, the Frenchman’s fade risk creeps in; if it’s first-strike, Vukic’s hold rate projects a hair higher. The crowd can swing micro-moments for Atmane—think tiebreak edges and break-point noise—provided the body cooperates.
🔮 Prediction
Lean: Vukic in 3 sets. Slight preference to the healthier profile and steadier recent reps, with a clear Atmane upset path if he manages the load and rides the home lift.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Aleksandar Vukic | Terence Atmane |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 (overall) | 27–36 | 34–29 |
| Hard / Indoors | 15–19 | 2–3 | 28–17 | 1–4 |
| Handedness | Right-handed | Left-handed |
| Recent notes | Tokyo QF; qual W/O into Paris | Cincy SF peak; fitness concerns since |
| H2H | 0 | 1 (Acapulco ’24) |
| Edges (qualitative) | First-strike holds indoors | Ceiling + home crowd |
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