ATP Cincinnati
Popyrin A. – Rublev A.
🧠 Form & Context
Alexei Popyrin
- ⚡ Giant-killer at Masters level: Has won 12 of his last 16 matches vs top-20 players at Masters events, including Rublev twice in 2024 (Monte Carlo, Montreal).
- 🇨🇦 Recent boost: Quarterfinalist in Toronto after taking down Rune & Medvedev, and pushing Zverev to three sets.
- 📉 Inconsistent season: Just 17–19 overall in 2025, with most success coming in three standout weeks (Monte Carlo QF, French Open R16, Toronto QF).
- 🎯 2025 hardcourt record: 6–8; thrives when serve & forehand click, but vulnerable in extended rallies and when first-serve % drops.
Andrey Rublev
- 🔄 Shaky but steady: Hasn’t hit his peak in 2025 but still owns a 29–18 record; quarterfinalist in Toronto last week, beating Davidovich Fokina before falling to Fritz.
- 🏆 Cincinnati history: Runner-up in 2021, quarterfinalist in 2019 & 2024; thrives in these conditions.
- 💪 Recent revenge: Beat Learner Tien in R2 here, avenging Washington loss last month.
- ⚠️ Top-20 test: Faces an opponent who has a 2–1 H2H edge and a proven formula against him—flattening returns and taking early control of rallies.
🔍 Match Breakdown
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