🧠 Form & Context
Billy Harris
🇬🇧 Local favourite with momentum—took down Cameron Norrie 6-4, 6-4 for a career-best win.
🌱 Comfortable on the turf: 3–4 this grass swing and a solid 32–22 career record on the surface.
🚀 Flat, aggressive game well-suited to Eastbourne—especially his serve–forehand combo.
🎯 Holds a 2–1 edge in the H2H, with wins in 2024 Lugano and a Futures event back in 2020.
Mattia Bellucci
🇮🇹 Italian lefty making moves: came through qualifying with strong wins (Gengel, Tseng) and eased past Halys 6-4, 6-2 in R1.
📈 Gaining grass confidence with each round—3–3 this swing and timing improving.
🌬️ Lefty patterns—wide serve on the ad court followed by heavy forehand—thrive on slick courts.
📌 Won their most recent H2H: beat Harris 6-3, 6-4 at the 2024 Shanghai Masters.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Harris will look to repeat the formula from his Norrie win: land a high first-serve percentage, step inside the baseline to dictate with his forehand, and close with confidence at net. His backhand down the line could be key in disrupting Bellucci’s cross-court rhythm.
Bellucci brings lefty angles and higher topspin to the mix. He’ll target Harris’s backhand and aim to pull him into longer rallies where the Brit’s flat strokes can become more vulnerable. If Bellucci extends rallies past five shots consistently, he gains the upper hand.
Key swing factors:
• First-serve efficiency: Both average 10+ aces per match on grass this month—who gets the cleaner service games?
• Second-serve returns: Both players win under 50% of second-serve points—return depth and aggression could trigger key breaks.
• Crowd energy: Harris reached the semis here in 2024 and rode the home support to shock Norrie—expect another boost from the Devonshire Park crowd.
🔮 Prediction
Bellucci has the higher ranking and won their last encounter, but Harris is thriving on familiar turf. With the home crowd behind him and the confidence of a top-50 scalp, the Brit may once again punch above his weight.
Pick: Harris in 3 sets — expect tiebreaks and a tight finish, but the Brit’s comfort on this court makes the difference.
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