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ATP Brussels — Raphael Collignon vs Francisco Comesana
🧠 Form & Context
🇧🇪 Raphael Collignon (No. 90, right)
2025: 40–20 | Indoors 17–5 | Hard 2–4.
- ✅ R1 Brussels: d. Bergs 6–4, 7–6(5).
- ✅ Red-hot indoor swing: Orléans F, Mouilleron SF.
- 🏠 Home comfort + crowd boost; confident after USO run (beat Ruud).
🇦🇷 Francisco Comesana (No. 68, right)
2025: 29–26 | Indoors 1–0 | Hard 9–9.
- ✅ R1 Brussels: d. Goffin 7–6(5), 6–4.
- 🔁 Big 2025 scalps on tour (Zverev in Rio); improved hard-court baseline game.
- 📈 First indoor match this week looked solid, but limited reps under a roof.
🔍 Match Breakdown
Collignon’s lane: Compact first-strike indoor pattern — dependable first serve, early forehand take, strong breaker temperament (evident vs Bergs). Rhythm is dialed after back-to-back French indoor runs.
Comesana’s lane: Heavier ball off clay, but 2025 hard-court polish shows in BH line redirects and smarter +1 serves. The test is translating that into lower-bounce indoor exchanges against a proactive opponent on home soil.
Key battlegrounds: Collignon’s first-serve points won and forehand +1 vs Comesana’s backhand stability; who blinks first in 0–5 and 6–9-shot rallies. With both winning tight sets this week, at least one tiebreak is live.
🔮 Prediction
Pick: Collignon in two tight sets (one tiebreak likely). Comesana can extend rallies and nick returns if Collignon’s 1st-serve dips, but the Belgian’s current indoor rhythm, clutch play, and home lift tip the balance.
📊 Tale of the Tape
| Category | Raphael Collignon | Francisco Comesana |
|---|---|---|
| Form trend | 🔥 Red-hot indoors; fresh R1 TB win | Steady 2025; quality R1 win |
| Surface fit (Indoor Hard) | Clean first-strike; low-bounce comfort | Less indoor volume; translating clay-heavier pace |
| Serve & +1 pattern | Dependable 1st serve → early FH take | Smarter +1 serves; BH line redirects |
| Rally dynamics | Prefers short-mid; proactive court position | Can lengthen and absorb, but risks yielding court |
| Intangibles | 🏠 Home crowd, confidence spike | Limited indoor reps; underdog upside |
Scoreline lean: Collignon 2–0.
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