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Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys — Tokyo R1 Preview
WTA Tokyo
Hard Court
Round of 32
🧠 Form & Context
Katie Boulter (GBR, #59)
- 2025: 22–20 | Hard 9–12.
- Osaka: upset Nosková, then lost to Cîrstea.
- Qualified here via two 3-setters (Blinkova, Birrell) — match-tough but some mileage.
- Good Japan memories (Tokyo SF ’24). Needs first-strike accuracy to thrive.
Eva Lys (GER, #44)
- 2025: 32–22 | Hard 23–12.
- Seven straight R1 wins; Cleveland QF → Beijing QF with a win over Rybakina.
- Qualified here in straights (Starodubtseva, Golubic).
- Confident counter-puncher, tidy in longer rallies.
🔍 Match Breakdown
At Patreon for free
📊 Tale of the Tape (Qualitative)
- Form trend: Edge Lys — steady results, big Beijing scalp.
- Style clash: Boulter first-strike vs Lys counter-punch & redirection.
- Serve/return: Boulter’s first-serve pop vs Lys’s second-serve pressure.
- Rally tolerance: Longer points lean Lys.
- Mileage/freshness: Slight edge Lys (straights in qualies vs Boulter’s back-to-back 3-setters).
- Intangibles: Boulter’s positive Tokyo history vs Lys’s current confidence run.
🔓 Free write-up + value notes: Read on Patreon
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